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UTC+8
TijdzoneAsia/Shanghai
Nederlands
POL Polen - Ekstraklasa · Round 1 ·

Korona Kielce vs Legia Warschau

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Thuis form
Projected score1–11.99 expected goals
Uit form
Thuiswinst33%
Gelijkspel29%
Uitwinst38%
Full model forecastUitwinstTier A · 38% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans AWAY; raw model leaned HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callUitwinst38% selection probability
Projected score1–1Korona KielceLegia Warschau
Expected goals1.99Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Onder68% for the selected side
Beide teams scorenNee60% for the selected side
Expected corners9.2Onder 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
33% / 29% / 38%WedstrijdresultaatUitwinst38%2.63
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (29%)Dubbele Kans1271%1.41
Boven 32% · Onder 68%Goals 2.5Onder68%1.47
Ja 40% · Nee 60%Beide teams scorenNee60%1.67
1.99 total expected goalsExacte score1–1
9.2 expected match cornersHoekschoppenOnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin8.6%Largest probability gapLegia Warschau winDifference-0.4 pp
OutcomeVoorspellingEerlijke oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Korona Kielce win33%3.032.8032.9%+0.1 pp
Gelijkspel29%3.453.2028.8%+0.2 pp
Legia Warschau win38%2.632.4038.4%-0.4 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Korona Kielce1.04

Thuis share of expected goals 52.3%

Total expected goals1.99Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Boven 32% · Onder 68%

Legia Warschau0.95

Uit share of expected goals 47.7%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 40% · Nee 60%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Thuis-context · form sequence

Korona Kielce

1.00pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Punten5

SignalThuis matches under 2.5: 4/5

Uit-context · form sequence

Legia Warschau

3.00pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins5Drawn0Losses0Punten15

SignalThuis clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
33%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
38%
5
Points from supplied form
15
1.04
Expected goals
0.95
Korona KielceLegia Warschau
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans AWAY; raw model leaned HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Korona Kielce signalThuis matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Legia Warschau signalThuis clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk62% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 29%.

Match questions

Korona Kielce vs Legia Warschau FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Uitwinst · Projected score 1–1 · 38% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Korona Kielce gewonnen 33%,Gelijkspel 29%,Legia Warschau gewonnen 38%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.99 · Boven 2.5 32% · Current selection Onder