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POL Poľsko - Ekstraklasa · Round 1 ·

Korona Kielce vs Legia Varšava

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Domáci form
Projected score1–11.99 expected goals
Hostia form
Výhra domácich33%
Remíza29%
Výhra hostí38%
Full model forecastVýhra hostíTier A · 38% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans AWAY; raw model leaned HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVýhra hostí38% selection probability
Projected score1–1Korona KielceLegia Varšava
Expected goals1.99Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Menej68% for the selected side
Oba tímy skórujúNie60% for the selected side
Expected corners9.2Menej 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketVýberPravdepodobnosťFérový kurz
33% / 29% / 38%Výsledok zápasuVýhra hostí38%2.63
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (29%)Dvojitá šanca1271%1.41
Viac 32% · Menej 68%Goals 2.5Menej68%1.47
Áno 40% · Nie 60%Oba tímy skórujúNie60%1.67
1.99 total expected goalsPresné skóre1–1
9.2 expected match cornersRohyMenej 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin8.6%Largest probability gapLegia Varšava winDifference-0.4 pp
OutcomePredpoveďFérový kurzReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Korona Kielce win33%3.032.8032.9%+0.1 pp
Remíza29%3.453.2028.8%+0.2 pp
Legia Varšava win38%2.632.4038.4%-0.4 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Korona Kielce1.04

Domáci share of expected goals 52.3%

Total expected goals1.99Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Viac 32% · Menej 68%

Legia Varšava0.95

Hostia share of expected goals 47.7%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitÁno 40% · Nie 60%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domáci-context · form sequence

Korona Kielce

1.00pts / match
Odohrané5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Body5

SignalDomáci matches under 2.5: 4/5

Hostia-context · form sequence

Legia Varšava

3.00pts / match
Odohrané5Wins5Drawn0Losses0Body15

SignalDomáci clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
33%
Výhra probability excluding draw
38%
5
Points from supplied form
15
1.04
Expected goals
0.95
Korona KielceLegia Varšava
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans AWAY; raw model leaned HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Korona Kielce signalDomáci matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Legia Varšava signalDomáci clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk62% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Remíza probability alone is 29%.

Match questions

Korona Kielce vs Legia Varšava FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Výhra hostí · Projected score 1–1 · 38% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Korona Kielce výhra 33%,Remíza 29%,Legia Varšava výhra 38%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.99 · Viac 2.5 32% · Current selection Menej