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POL Poland Ekstraklasa · Round 1 ·

Korona Kielce vs Legia de Varsovia

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Local form
Projected score1–11.99 expected goals
Visitante form
Victoria local33%
Empate29%
Victoria visitante38%
Full model forecastVictoria visitanteTier A · 38% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans AWAY; raw model leaned HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoria visitante38% selection probability
Projected score1–1Korona KielceLegia de Varsovia
Expected goals1.99Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Menos de68% for the selected side
Ambos equipos marcanNo60% for the selected side
Expected corners9.2Menos de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecciónProbabilidadCuotas justas
33% / 29% / 38%Resultado del partidoVictoria visitante38%2.63
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (29%)Doble Oportunidad1271%1.41
Más de 32% · Menos de 68%Goals 2.5Menos de68%1.47
Sí 40% · No 60%Ambos equipos marcanNo60%1.67
1.99 total expected goalsMarcador exacto1–1
9.2 expected match cornersCórnersMenos de 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin8.6%Largest probability gapLegia de Varsovia winDifference-0.4 pp
OutcomePronósticoCuotas justasReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Korona Kielce win33%3.032.8032.9%+0.1 pp
Empate29%3.453.2028.8%+0.2 pp
Legia de Varsovia win38%2.632.4038.4%-0.4 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Korona Kielce1.04

Local share of expected goals 52.3%

Total expected goals1.99Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Más de 32% · Menos de 68%

Legia de Varsovia0.95

Visitante share of expected goals 47.7%

Projected score1–1BTTS split 40% · No 60%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Local-context · form sequence

Korona Kielce

1.00pts / match
Jugados5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Puntos5

SignalLocal matches under 2.5: 4/5

Visitante-context · form sequence

Legia de Varsovia

3.00pts / match
Jugados5Wins5Drawn0Losses0Puntos15

SignalLocal clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
33%
Ganado probability excluding draw
38%
5
Points from supplied form
15
1.04
Expected goals
0.95
Korona KielceLegia de Varsovia
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans AWAY; raw model leaned HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Korona Kielce signalLocal matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Legia de Varsovia signalLocal clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk62% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 29%.

Match questions

Korona Kielce vs Legia de Varsovia FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoria visitante · Projected score 1–1 · 38% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Korona Kielce ganada 33%,Empate 29%,Legia de Varsovia ganada 38%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.99 · Más de 2.5 32% · Current selection Menos de