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POL ポーランド エクストラクラサ · Round 1 ·

レフ・ポズナン vs ピアスト・グリヴィツェ

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

ホーム form
Projected score2–13.11 expected goals
アウェイ form
ホーム勝利54%
引き分け25%
アウェイ勝利21%
Full model forecastホーム勝利Tier A · 54% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callホーム勝利54% selection probability
Projected score2–1レフ・ポズナンピアスト・グリヴィツェ
Expected goals3.11始値 match profile
Goals 2.5オーバー60% for the selected side
両チーム得点はい56% for the selected side
Expected corners10.3オーバー 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

Market選択確率フェアオッズ
54% / 25% / 21%試合結果ホーム勝利54%1.85
Derived from 1X2 · excludes ピアスト・グリヴィツェ win (21.4%)ダブルチャンス1X78.6%1.27
オーバー 60% · アンダー 40%Goals 2.5オーバー60%1.67
はい 56% · いいえ 44%両チーム得点はい56%1.79
3.11 total expected goals正確なスコア2–1
10.3 expected match cornersコーナーオーバー 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

いいえ snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityフェアオッズ
レフ・ポズナン win54%1.85
引き分け25%4.00
ピアスト・グリヴィツェ win21%4.76

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

レフ・ポズナン2.12

ホーム share of expected goals 68.2%

Total expected goals3.11始値

Dedicated goals model: オーバー 60% · アンダー 40%

ピアスト・グリヴィツェ0.99

アウェイ share of expected goals 31.8%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitはい 56% · いいえ 44%Match profile始値
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

ホーム-context · form sequence

レフ・ポズナン

2.00pts / match
試合数5Wins3Drawn1Losses1ポイント10

Signalホーム unbeaten 4/5

アウェイ-context · form sequence

ピアスト・グリヴィツェ

2.00pts / match
試合数5Wins3Drawn1Losses1ポイント10

Signalホーム matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
54%
勝ち probability excluding draw
21%
10
Points from supplied form
10
2.12
Expected goals
0.99
レフ・ポズナンピアスト・グリヴィツェ
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01レフ・ポズナン signalホーム unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02ピアスト・グリヴィツェ signalホーム matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk46% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. 引き分け probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

レフ・ポズナン vs ピアスト・グリヴィツェ FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: ホーム勝利 · Projected score 2–1 · 54% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

レフ・ポズナン 勝ち 54%,引き分け 25%,ピアスト・グリヴィツェ 勝ち 21%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.11 · オーバー 2.5 60% · Current selection オーバー