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POL Poland Ekstraklasa · Round 1 ·

Λεχ Πόζναν vs Πιάστ Γκλίβιτσε

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Γηπεδούχος form
Projected score2–13.10 expected goals
Φιλοξενούμενος form
Νίκη γηπεδούχου53%
Ισοπαλία25%
Νίκη φιλοξενούμενου21%
Full model forecastΝίκη γηπεδούχουTier A · 53% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callΝίκη γηπεδούχου53% selection probability
Projected score2–1Λεχ ΠόζνανΠιάστ Γκλίβιτσε
Expected goals3.10Άνοιγμα match profile
Goals 2.5Άνω60% for the selected side
Σκοράρουν και οι δύοΝαι56% for the selected side
Expected corners10.3Άνω 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketΕπιλογήΠιθανότηταΔίκαιη απόδοση
53% / 25% / 21%Αποτέλεσμα αγώναΝίκη γηπεδούχου53%1.89
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Πιάστ Γκλίβιτσε win (21.5%)Διπλή Ευκαιρία1X78.5%1.27
Άνω 60% · Κάτω 40%Goals 2.5Άνω60%1.67
Ναι 56% · Όχι 44%Σκοράρουν και οι δύοΝαι56%1.79
3.10 total expected goalsΑκριβές σκορ2–1
10.3 expected match cornersΚόρνερΆνω 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Όχι snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityΔίκαιη απόδοση
Λεχ Πόζναν win53%1.89
Ισοπαλία25%4.00
Πιάστ Γκλίβιτσε win21%4.76

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Λεχ Πόζναν2.11

Γηπεδούχος share of expected goals 68.1%

Total expected goals3.10Άνοιγμα

Dedicated goals model: Άνω 60% · Κάτω 40%

Πιάστ Γκλίβιτσε0.99

Φιλοξενούμενος share of expected goals 31.9%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitΝαι 56% · Όχι 44%Match profileΆνοιγμα
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Γηπεδούχος-context · form sequence

Λεχ Πόζναν

2.00pts / match
Αγώνες5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Πόντοι10

SignalΓηπεδούχος unbeaten 4/5

Φιλοξενούμενος-context · form sequence

Πιάστ Γκλίβιτσε

2.00pts / match
Αγώνες5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Πόντοι10

SignalΓηπεδούχος matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
53%
Νίκη probability excluding draw
21%
10
Points from supplied form
10
2.11
Expected goals
0.99
Λεχ ΠόζνανΠιάστ Γκλίβιτσε
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Λεχ Πόζναν signalΓηπεδούχος unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Πιάστ Γκλίβιτσε signalΓηπεδούχος matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk47% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ισοπαλία probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

Λεχ Πόζναν vs Πιάστ Γκλίβιτσε FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Νίκη γηπεδούχου · Projected score 2–1 · 53% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Λεχ Πόζναν νίκη 53%,Ισοπαλία 25%,Πιάστ Γκλίβιτσε νίκη 21%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.10 · Άνω 2.5 60% · Current selection Άνω