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Часова зонаAsia/Shanghai
Български
POL Poland Ekstraklasa · Round 1 ·

Лех Познан vs Пяст Гливице

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Домакин form
Projected score2–13.10 expected goals
Гост form
Победа за домакина53%
Равен25%
Победа за госта21%
Full model forecastПобеда за домакинаTier A · 53% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда за домакина53% selection probability
Projected score2–1Лех ПознанПяст Гливице
Expected goals3.10Откриване match profile
Goals 2.5Над60% for the selected side
И двата отбора да отбележатДа56% for the selected side
Expected corners10.3Над 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketИзборВероятностСправедлив коефициент
53% / 25% / 21%Резултат от мачаПобеда за домакина53%1.89
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Пяст Гливице win (21.5%)Двоен шанс1X78.5%1.27
Над 60% · Под 40%Goals 2.5Над60%1.67
Да 56% · Не 44%И двата отбора да отбележатДа56%1.79
3.10 total expected goalsТочен резултат2–1
10.3 expected match cornersКорнериНад 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Не snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityСправедлив коефициент
Лех Познан win53%1.89
Равен25%4.00
Пяст Гливице win21%4.76

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Лех Познан2.11

Домакин share of expected goals 68.1%

Total expected goals3.10Откриване

Dedicated goals model: Над 60% · Под 40%

Пяст Гливице0.99

Гост share of expected goals 31.9%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitДа 56% · Не 44%Match profileОткриване
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Домакин-context · form sequence

Лех Познан

2.00pts / match
Изиграни5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Точки10

SignalДомакин unbeaten 4/5

Гост-context · form sequence

Пяст Гливице

2.00pts / match
Изиграни5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Точки10

SignalДомакин matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
53%
Печеливш probability excluding draw
21%
10
Points from supplied form
10
2.11
Expected goals
0.99
Лех ПознанПяст Гливице
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Лех Познан signalДомакин unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Пяст Гливице signalДомакин matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk47% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Равен probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

Лех Познан vs Пяст Гливице FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа за домакина · Projected score 2–1 · 53% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Лех Познан печеливш 53%,Равен 25%,Пяст Гливице печеливш 21%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.10 · Над 2.5 60% · Current selection Над