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POL ポーランド エクストラクラサ · Round 1 ·

ポゴンシュチェチン vs モータールブリン

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

ホーム form
Projected score2–12.94 expected goals
アウェイ form
ホーム勝利46%
引き分け27%
アウェイ勝利27%
Full model forecastホーム勝利Tier A · 46% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callホーム勝利46% selection probability
Projected score2–1ポゴンシュチェチンモータールブリン
Expected goals2.94Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5オーバー56% for the selected side
両チーム得点はい57% for the selected side
Expected corners9.9オーバー 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

Market選択確率フェアオッズ
46% / 27% / 27%試合結果ホーム勝利46%2.17
Derived from 1X2 · excludes モータールブリン win (26.8%)ダブルチャンス1X73.2%1.37
オーバー 56% · アンダー 44%Goals 2.5オーバー56%1.79
はい 57% · いいえ 43%両チーム得点はい57%1.75
2.94 total expected goals正確なスコア2–1
9.9 expected match cornersコーナーオーバー 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

いいえ snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityフェアオッズ
ポゴンシュチェチン win46%2.17
引き分け27%3.70
モータールブリン win27%3.70

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

ポゴンシュチェチン1.80

ホーム share of expected goals 61.2%

Total expected goals2.94Balanced

Dedicated goals model: オーバー 56% · アンダー 44%

モータールブリン1.14

アウェイ share of expected goals 38.8%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitはい 57% · いいえ 43%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

ホーム-context · form sequence

ポゴンシュチェチン

1.20pts / match
試合数5Wins2Drawn0Losses3ポイント6

Signalホーム failed to score: 3/5

アウェイ-context · form sequence

モータールブリン

1.40pts / match
試合数5Wins2Drawn1Losses2ポイント7

Signalアウェイ matches over 2.5: 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
46%
勝ち probability excluding draw
27%
6
Points from supplied form
7
1.80
Expected goals
1.14
ポゴンシュチェチンモータールブリン
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01ポゴンシュチェチン signalホーム failed to score: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02モータールブリン signalアウェイ matches over 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk54% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. 引き分け probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

ポゴンシュチェチン vs モータールブリン FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: ホーム勝利 · Projected score 2–1 · 46% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

ポゴンシュチェチン 勝ち 46%,引き分け 27%,モータールブリン 勝ち 27%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.94 · オーバー 2.5 56% · Current selection オーバー