MatchFormula Znajdź mecz
Menu
UTC+8
Strefa czasowaAsia/Shanghai
Polski
POL Polska - Ekstraklasa · Round 1 ·

Pogoń Szczecin vs Motor Lublin

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Gospodarze form
Projected score2–12.94 expected goals
Goście form
Wygrana gospodarzy46%
Remis27%
Wygrana gości27%
Full model forecastWygrana gospodarzyTier A · 46% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callWygrana gospodarzy46% selection probability
Projected score2–1Pogoń SzczecinMotor Lublin
Expected goals2.94Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Powyżej56% for the selected side
Obie drużyny strzeląTak57% for the selected side
Expected corners9.9Powyżej 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketWybórPrawdopodobieństwoUczciwy kurs
46% / 27% / 27%Wynik meczuWygrana gospodarzy46%2.17
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Motor Lublin win (26.8%)Podwójna szansa1X73.2%1.37
Powyżej 56% · Poniżej 44%Goals 2.5Powyżej56%1.79
Tak 57% · Nie 43%Obie drużyny strzeląTak57%1.75
2.94 total expected goalsDokładny wynik2–1
9.9 expected match cornersRożnePowyżej 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nie snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityUczciwy kurs
Pogoń Szczecin win46%2.17
Remis27%3.70
Motor Lublin win27%3.70

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Pogoń Szczecin1.80

Gospodarze share of expected goals 61.2%

Total expected goals2.94Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Powyżej 56% · Poniżej 44%

Motor Lublin1.14

Goście share of expected goals 38.8%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitTak 57% · Nie 43%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Gospodarze-context · form sequence

Pogoń Szczecin

1.20pts / match
Rozegrane5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Punkty6

SignalGospodarze failed to score: 3/5

Goście-context · form sequence

Motor Lublin

1.40pts / match
Rozegrane5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Punkty7

SignalGoście matches over 2.5: 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
46%
Wygrana probability excluding draw
27%
6
Points from supplied form
7
1.80
Expected goals
1.14
Pogoń SzczecinMotor Lublin
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Pogoń Szczecin signalGospodarze failed to score: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Motor Lublin signalGoście matches over 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk54% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Remis probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

Pogoń Szczecin vs Motor Lublin FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Wygrana gospodarzy · Projected score 2–1 · 46% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Pogoń Szczecin wygrana 46%,Remis 27%,Motor Lublin wygrana 27%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.94 · Powyżej 2.5 56% · Current selection Powyżej