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POL 波兰甲级联赛 · Round 1 ·

什切青波貢 vs 莫托路宾

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

主隊 form
Projected score2–12.94 expected goals
客隊 form
主勝46%
27%
客勝27%
Full model forecast主勝Tier A · 46% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary call主勝46% selection probability
Projected score2–1什切青波貢莫托路宾
Expected goals2.94Balanced match profile
Goals 2.556% for the selected side
雙方進球57% for the selected side
Expected corners9.9大 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

Market投注機率公平賠率
46% / 27% / 27%比賽結果主勝46%2.17
Derived from 1X2 · excludes 莫托路宾 win (26.8%)雙勝彩1X73.2%1.37
大 56% · 小 44%Goals 2.556%1.79
是 57% · 否 43%雙方進球57%1.75
2.94 total expected goals正確比分2–1
9.9 expected match corners角球大 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

否 snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probability公平賠率
什切青波貢 win46%2.17
27%3.70
莫托路宾 win27%3.70

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

什切青波貢1.80

主隊 share of expected goals 61.2%

Total expected goals2.94Balanced

Dedicated goals model: 56% · 44%

莫托路宾1.14

客隊 share of expected goals 38.8%

Projected score2–1BTTS split 57% · 43%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

主隊-context · form sequence

什切青波貢

1.20pts / match
5Wins2Drawn0Losses3積分6

Signal主隊 failed to score: 3/5

客隊-context · form sequence

莫托路宾

1.40pts / match
5Wins2Drawn1Losses2積分7

Signal客隊 matches over 2.5: 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
46%
贏 probability excluding draw
27%
6
Points from supplied form
7
1.80
Expected goals
1.14
什切青波貢莫托路宾
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01什切青波貢 signal主隊 failed to score: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02莫托路宾 signal客隊 matches over 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk54% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. 平 probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

什切青波貢 vs 莫托路宾 FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: 主勝 · Projected score 2–1 · 46% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

什切青波貢 46%, 27%,莫托路宾 27%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.94 · 大2.5 56% · Current selection