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POL Польша - Экстракласса · Round 1 ·

Погонь Щецин vs Мотор Люблин

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Хозяева form
Projected score2–12.94 expected goals
Гости form
Победа хозяев46%
Ничья27%
Победа гостей27%
Full model forecastПобеда хозяевTier A · 46% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда хозяев46% selection probability
Projected score2–1Погонь ЩецинМотор Люблин
Expected goals2.94Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Больше56% for the selected side
Обе забьютДа57% for the selected side
Expected corners9.9Больше 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketВыборВероятностьСправедливый коэффициент
46% / 27% / 27%Исход матчаПобеда хозяев46%2.17
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Мотор Люблин win (26.8%)Двойной шанс1X73.2%1.37
Больше 56% · Меньше 44%Goals 2.5Больше56%1.79
Да 57% · Нет 43%Обе забьютДа57%1.75
2.94 total expected goalsТочный счёт2–1
9.9 expected match cornersУгловыеБольше 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Нет snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityСправедливый коэффициент
Погонь Щецин win46%2.17
Ничья27%3.70
Мотор Люблин win27%3.70

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Погонь Щецин1.80

Хозяева share of expected goals 61.2%

Total expected goals2.94Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Больше 56% · Меньше 44%

Мотор Люблин1.14

Гости share of expected goals 38.8%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitДа 57% · Нет 43%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Хозяева-context · form sequence

Погонь Щецин

1.20pts / match
Сыграно5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Баллы6

SignalХозяева failed to score: 3/5

Гости-context · form sequence

Мотор Люблин

1.40pts / match
Сыграно5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Баллы7

SignalГости matches over 2.5: 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
46%
Выигрыш probability excluding draw
27%
6
Points from supplied form
7
1.80
Expected goals
1.14
Погонь ЩецинМотор Люблин
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Погонь Щецин signalХозяева failed to score: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Мотор Люблин signalГости matches over 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk54% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ничья probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

Погонь Щецин vs Мотор Люблин FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа хозяев · Projected score 2–1 · 46% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Погонь Щецин выигрыш 46%,Ничья 27%,Мотор Люблин выигрыш 27%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.94 · ТБ 2.5 56% · Current selection Больше