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JPN J3リーグ · Round 1 ·

鹿児島ユナイテッドFC vs ザスパ群馬

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

ホーム form
Projected score2–13.65 expected goals
アウェイ form
ホーム勝利52%
引き分け25%
アウェイ勝利24%
Full model forecastホーム勝利Tier A · 52% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callホーム勝利52% selection probability
Projected score2–1鹿児島ユナイテッドFCザスパ群馬
Expected goals3.65始値 match profile
Goals 2.5オーバー71% for the selected side
両チーム得点はい68% for the selected side
Expected corners10.2オーバー 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

Market選択確率フェアオッズ
52% / 25% / 24%試合結果ホーム勝利52%1.92
Derived from 1X2 · excludes ザスパ群馬 win (23.6%)ダブルチャンス1X76.4%1.31
オーバー 71% · アンダー 29%Goals 2.5オーバー71%1.41
はい 68% · いいえ 32%両チーム得点はい68%1.47
3.65 total expected goals正確なスコア2–1
10.2 expected match cornersコーナーオーバー 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.2%Largest probability gap鹿児島ユナイテッドFC winDifference+0.6 pp
Outcome予想フェアオッズReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
鹿児島ユナイテッドFC win52%1.921.7551.4%+0.6 pp
引き分け25%4.003.6025%0.0 pp
ザスパ群馬 win24%4.173.8023.7%+0.3 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

鹿児島ユナイテッドFC2.25

ホーム share of expected goals 61.6%

Total expected goals3.65始値

Dedicated goals model: オーバー 71% · アンダー 29%

ザスパ群馬1.40

アウェイ share of expected goals 38.4%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitはい 68% · いいえ 32%Match profile始値
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

ホーム-context · form sequence

鹿児島ユナイテッドFC

0.40pts / match
試合数5Wins0Drawn2Losses3ポイント2

Signalホーム matches under 2.5: 4/5

アウェイ-context · form sequence

ザスパ群馬

3.00pts / match
試合数5Wins5Drawn0Losses0ポイント15

Signalホーム failed to score: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
52%
勝ち probability excluding draw
24%
2
Points from supplied form
15
2.25
Expected goals
1.40
鹿児島ユナイテッドFCザスパ群馬
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01鹿児島ユナイテッドFC signalホーム matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02ザスパ群馬 signalホーム failed to score: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk48% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. 引き分け probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

鹿児島ユナイテッドFC vs ザスパ群馬 FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: ホーム勝利 · Projected score 2–1 · 52% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

鹿児島ユナイテッドFC 勝ち 52%,引き分け 25%,ザスパ群馬 勝ち 24%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.65 · オーバー 2.5 71% · Current selection オーバー