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JPN J3リーグ · Round 1 ·

AC長野パルセイロ vs レノファ山口FC

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

ホーム form
Projected score1–12.68 expected goals
アウェイ form
ホーム勝利29%
引き分け28%
アウェイ勝利44%
Market-based forecastアウェイ勝利Tier B · 44% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callアウェイ勝利44% selection probability
Projected score1–1AC長野パルセイロレノファ山口FC
Expected goals2.68Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5アンダー50% for the selected side
両チーム得点はい55% for the selected side
Expected corners10.2オーバー 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

Market選択確率フェアオッズ
29% / 28% / 44%試合結果アウェイ勝利44%2.27
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (27.5%)ダブルチャンス1272.5%1.38
オーバー 50% · アンダー 50%Goals 2.5アンダー50%2.00
はい 55% · いいえ 45%両チーム得点はい55%1.82
2.68 total expected goals正確なスコア1–1
10.2 expected match cornersコーナーオーバー 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin11.5%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimなし
Outcome予想フェアオッズReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
AC長野パルセイロ win29%3.453.2527.6%
引き分け28%3.573.2527.6%
レノファ山口FC win44%2.272.0044.8%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

AC長野パルセイロ1.24

ホーム share of expected goals 46.3%

Total expected goals2.68Balanced

Dedicated goals model: オーバー 50% · アンダー 50%

レノファ山口FC1.44

アウェイ share of expected goals 53.7%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitはい 55% · いいえ 45%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

ホーム-context · form sequence

AC長野パルセイロ

0.00pts / match
試合数5Wins0Drawn0Losses5ポイント0

Signalホーム matches over 2.5: 4/5

アウェイ-context · form sequence

レノファ山口FC

2.00pts / match
試合数5Wins3Drawn1Losses1ポイント10

Signalホーム failed to score: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
29%
勝ち probability excluding draw
44%
0
Points from supplied form
10
1.24
Expected goals
1.44
AC長野パルセイロレノファ山口FC
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01AC長野パルセイロ signalホーム matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02レノファ山口FC signalホーム failed to score: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk56% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. 引き分け probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

AC長野パルセイロ vs レノファ山口FC FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: アウェイ勝利 · Projected score 1–1 · 44% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

AC長野パルセイロ 勝ち 29%,引き分け 28%,レノファ山口FC 勝ち 44%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.68 · オーバー 2.5 50% · Current selection アンダー