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JPN Japonia - J3-League · Round 1 ·

Nagano Parceiro vs Renofa Yamaguchi

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Gazde form
Projected score1–12.68 expected goals
Oaspeți form
Victorie gazde29%
Egal28%
Victorie oaspeți44%
Market-based forecastVictorie oaspețiTier B · 44% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictorie oaspeți44% selection probability
Projected score1–1Nagano ParceiroRenofa Yamaguchi
Expected goals2.68Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Sub50% for the selected side
Ambele echipe marcheazăDa55% for the selected side
Expected corners10.2Peste 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecțieProbabilitateCotă corectă
29% / 28% / 44%Rezultatul meciuluiVictorie oaspeți44%2.27
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (27.5%)Șansă dublă1272.5%1.38
Peste 50% · Sub 50%Goals 2.5Sub50%2.00
Da 55% · Nu 45%Ambele echipe marcheazăDa55%1.82
2.68 total expected goalsScor corect1–1
10.2 expected match cornersCornerePeste 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin11.5%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimNiciuna
OutcomePredicțieCotă corectăReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Nagano Parceiro win29%3.453.2527.6%
Egal28%3.573.2527.6%
Renofa Yamaguchi win44%2.272.0044.8%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Nagano Parceiro1.24

Gazde share of expected goals 46.3%

Total expected goals2.68Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Peste 50% · Sub 50%

Renofa Yamaguchi1.44

Oaspeți share of expected goals 53.7%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitDa 55% · Nu 45%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Gazde-context · form sequence

Nagano Parceiro

0.00pts / match
Jucate5Wins0Drawn0Losses5Puncte0

SignalGazde matches over 2.5: 4/5

Oaspeți-context · form sequence

Renofa Yamaguchi

2.00pts / match
Jucate5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Puncte10

SignalGazde failed to score: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
29%
Câștig probability excluding draw
44%
0
Points from supplied form
10
1.24
Expected goals
1.44
Nagano ParceiroRenofa Yamaguchi
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Nagano Parceiro signalGazde matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Renofa Yamaguchi signalGazde failed to score: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk56% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Egal probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

Nagano Parceiro vs Renofa Yamaguchi FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victorie oaspeți · Projected score 1–1 · 44% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Nagano Parceiro câștig 29%,Egal 28%,Renofa Yamaguchi câștig 44%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.68 · Peste 2.5 50% · Current selection Sub