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JPN Япония - Джей Лига 3 · Round 1 ·

Кагошима Юнайтед vs Теспа Гунма

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Домакин form
Projected score2–13.65 expected goals
Гост form
Победа за домакина52%
Равен25%
Победа за госта24%
Full model forecastПобеда за домакинаTier A · 52% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда за домакина52% selection probability
Projected score2–1Кагошима ЮнайтедТеспа Гунма
Expected goals3.65Откриване match profile
Goals 2.5Над71% for the selected side
И двата отбора да отбележатДа68% for the selected side
Expected corners10.2Над 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketИзборВероятностСправедлив коефициент
52% / 25% / 24%Резултат от мачаПобеда за домакина52%1.92
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Теспа Гунма win (23.6%)Двоен шанс1X76.4%1.31
Над 71% · Под 29%Goals 2.5Над71%1.41
Да 68% · Не 32%И двата отбора да отбележатДа68%1.47
3.65 total expected goalsТочен резултат2–1
10.2 expected match cornersКорнериНад 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.2%Largest probability gapКагошима Юнайтед winDifference+0.6 pp
OutcomeПрогнозаСправедлив коефициентReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Кагошима Юнайтед win52%1.921.7551.4%+0.6 pp
Равен25%4.003.6025%0.0 pp
Теспа Гунма win24%4.173.8023.7%+0.3 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Кагошима Юнайтед2.25

Домакин share of expected goals 61.6%

Total expected goals3.65Откриване

Dedicated goals model: Над 71% · Под 29%

Теспа Гунма1.40

Гост share of expected goals 38.4%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitДа 68% · Не 32%Match profileОткриване
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Домакин-context · form sequence

Кагошима Юнайтед

0.40pts / match
Изиграни5Wins0Drawn2Losses3Точки2

SignalДомакин matches under 2.5: 4/5

Гост-context · form sequence

Теспа Гунма

3.00pts / match
Изиграни5Wins5Drawn0Losses0Точки15

SignalДомакин failed to score: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
52%
Печеливш probability excluding draw
24%
2
Points from supplied form
15
2.25
Expected goals
1.40
Кагошима ЮнайтедТеспа Гунма
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Кагошима Юнайтед signalДомакин matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Теспа Гунма signalДомакин failed to score: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk48% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Равен probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

Кагошима Юнайтед vs Теспа Гунма FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа за домакина · Projected score 2–1 · 52% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Кагошима Юнайтед печеливш 52%,Равен 25%,Теспа Гунма печеливш 24%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.65 · Над 2.5 71% · Current selection Над