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JPN Ιαπωνία - J3-League · Round 1 ·

Καγκοσίμα Γιουνάιτεντ vs Θέσπα Γκάνμα

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Γηπεδούχος form
Projected score2–13.65 expected goals
Φιλοξενούμενος form
Νίκη γηπεδούχου52%
Ισοπαλία25%
Νίκη φιλοξενούμενου24%
Full model forecastΝίκη γηπεδούχουTier A · 52% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callΝίκη γηπεδούχου52% selection probability
Projected score2–1Καγκοσίμα ΓιουνάιτεντΘέσπα Γκάνμα
Expected goals3.65Άνοιγμα match profile
Goals 2.5Άνω71% for the selected side
Σκοράρουν και οι δύοΝαι68% for the selected side
Expected corners10.2Άνω 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketΕπιλογήΠιθανότηταΔίκαιη απόδοση
52% / 25% / 24%Αποτέλεσμα αγώναΝίκη γηπεδούχου52%1.92
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Θέσπα Γκάνμα win (23.6%)Διπλή Ευκαιρία1X76.4%1.31
Άνω 71% · Κάτω 29%Goals 2.5Άνω71%1.41
Ναι 68% · Όχι 32%Σκοράρουν και οι δύοΝαι68%1.47
3.65 total expected goalsΑκριβές σκορ2–1
10.2 expected match cornersΚόρνερΆνω 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.2%Largest probability gapΚαγκοσίμα Γιουνάιτεντ winDifference+0.6 pp
OutcomeΠρόβλεψηΔίκαιη απόδοσηReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Καγκοσίμα Γιουνάιτεντ win52%1.921.7551.4%+0.6 pp
Ισοπαλία25%4.003.6025%0.0 pp
Θέσπα Γκάνμα win24%4.173.8023.7%+0.3 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Καγκοσίμα Γιουνάιτεντ2.25

Γηπεδούχος share of expected goals 61.6%

Total expected goals3.65Άνοιγμα

Dedicated goals model: Άνω 71% · Κάτω 29%

Θέσπα Γκάνμα1.40

Φιλοξενούμενος share of expected goals 38.4%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitΝαι 68% · Όχι 32%Match profileΆνοιγμα
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Γηπεδούχος-context · form sequence

Καγκοσίμα Γιουνάιτεντ

0.40pts / match
Αγώνες5Wins0Drawn2Losses3Πόντοι2

SignalΓηπεδούχος matches under 2.5: 4/5

Φιλοξενούμενος-context · form sequence

Θέσπα Γκάνμα

3.00pts / match
Αγώνες5Wins5Drawn0Losses0Πόντοι15

SignalΓηπεδούχος failed to score: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
52%
Νίκη probability excluding draw
24%
2
Points from supplied form
15
2.25
Expected goals
1.40
Καγκοσίμα ΓιουνάιτεντΘέσπα Γκάνμα
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Καγκοσίμα Γιουνάιτεντ signalΓηπεδούχος matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Θέσπα Γκάνμα signalΓηπεδούχος failed to score: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk48% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ισοπαλία probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

Καγκοσίμα Γιουνάιτεντ vs Θέσπα Γκάνμα FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Νίκη γηπεδούχου · Projected score 2–1 · 52% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Καγκοσίμα Γιουνάιτεντ νίκη 52%,Ισοπαλία 25%,Θέσπα Γκάνμα νίκη 24%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.65 · Άνω 2.5 71% · Current selection Άνω