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JPN Japón - J3 League · Round 1 ·

Kagoshima United vs Thespa Gunma

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Local form
Projected score2–13.65 expected goals
Visitante form
Victoria local52%
Empate25%
Victoria visitante24%
Full model forecastVictoria localTier A · 52% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoria local52% selection probability
Projected score2–1Kagoshima UnitedThespa Gunma
Expected goals3.65Abrir match profile
Goals 2.5Más de71% for the selected side
Ambos equipos marcan68% for the selected side
Expected corners10.2Más de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecciónProbabilidadCuotas justas
52% / 25% / 24%Resultado del partidoVictoria local52%1.92
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Thespa Gunma win (23.6%)Doble Oportunidad1X76.4%1.31
Más de 71% · Menos de 29%Goals 2.5Más de71%1.41
Sí 68% · No 32%Ambos equipos marcan68%1.47
3.65 total expected goalsMarcador exacto2–1
10.2 expected match cornersCórnersMás de 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.2%Largest probability gapKagoshima United winDifference+0.6 pp
OutcomePronósticoCuotas justasReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Kagoshima United win52%1.921.7551.4%+0.6 pp
Empate25%4.003.6025%0.0 pp
Thespa Gunma win24%4.173.8023.7%+0.3 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Kagoshima United2.25

Local share of expected goals 61.6%

Total expected goals3.65Abrir

Dedicated goals model: Más de 71% · Menos de 29%

Thespa Gunma1.40

Visitante share of expected goals 38.4%

Projected score2–1BTTS split 68% · No 32%Match profileAbrir
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Local-context · form sequence

Kagoshima United

0.40pts / match
Jugados5Wins0Drawn2Losses3Puntos2

SignalLocal matches under 2.5: 4/5

Visitante-context · form sequence

Thespa Gunma

3.00pts / match
Jugados5Wins5Drawn0Losses0Puntos15

SignalLocal failed to score: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
52%
Ganado probability excluding draw
24%
2
Points from supplied form
15
2.25
Expected goals
1.40
Kagoshima UnitedThespa Gunma
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Kagoshima United signalLocal matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Thespa Gunma signalLocal failed to score: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk48% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

Kagoshima United vs Thespa Gunma FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoria local · Projected score 2–1 · 52% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Kagoshima United ganada 52%,Empate 25%,Thespa Gunma ganada 24%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.65 · Más de 2.5 71% · Current selection Más de