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MEX Mexico Liga MX Femenil · Partita ·

Puebla (F) vs Chivas Guadalajara (F)

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Casa form
Projected score0–22.58 expected goals
Trasferta form
Vittoria casa8%
Pareggio15%
Vittoria ospite77%
Full model forecastVittoria ospiteTier A · 77% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVittoria ospite77% selection probability
Projected score0–2Puebla (F)Chivas Guadalajara (F)
Expected goals2.58Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Sotto52% for the selected side
Entrambe le squadre segnanoNo72% for the selected side
Expected corners10.0Sopra 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelezioneProbabilitàQuote eque
8% / 15% / 77%Esito partitaVittoria ospite77%1.30
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Puebla (F) win (7.9%)Doppia ChanceX292.1%1.09
Sopra 48% · Sotto 52%Goals 2.5Sotto52%1.92
Sì 28% · No 72%Entrambe le squadre segnanoNo72%1.39
2.58 total expected goalsRisultato esatto0–2
10.0 expected match cornersCornerSopra 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin9.8%Largest probability gapDrawDifference+0.4 pp
OutcomePronosticoQuote equeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Puebla (F) win8%12.5011.008.3%-0.3 pp
Pareggio15%6.676.2514.6%+0.4 pp
Chivas Guadalajara (F) win77%1.301.1877.2%-0.2 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Puebla (F)0.37

Casa share of expected goals 14.3%

Total expected goals2.58Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Sopra 48% · Sotto 52%

Chivas Guadalajara (F)2.21

Trasferta share of expected goals 85.7%

Projected score0–2BTTS split 28% · No 72%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Casa-context · form sequence

Puebla (F)

1.00pts / match
Giocate5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Punti5

SignalCasa matches over 2.5: 4/5

Trasferta-context · form sequence

Chivas Guadalajara (F)

1.60pts / match
Giocate5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Punti8

SignalCasa failed to score: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
8%
Vinta probability excluding draw
77%
5
Points from supplied form
8
0.37
Expected goals
2.21
Puebla (F)Chivas Guadalajara (F)
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Puebla (F) signalCasa matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Chivas Guadalajara (F) signalCasa failed to score: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk23% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Pareggio probability alone is 15%.

Match questions

Puebla (F) vs Chivas Guadalajara (F) FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vittoria ospite · Projected score 0–2 · 77% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Puebla (F) vinta 8%,Pareggio 15%,Chivas Guadalajara (F) vinta 77%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.58 · Sopra 2.5 48% · Current selection Sotto