Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
8% / 15% / 77%Match resultAway win77%1.30
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Puebla (W) win (7.9%)Double chanceX292.1%1.09
Over 48% · Under 52%Goals 2.5Under52%1.92
Yes 28% · No 72%Both teams scoreNo72%1.39
2.58 total expected goalsCorrect score0–2——
10.0 expected match cornersCornersOver 9.5——
Price comparison
Published forecast vs reference market
Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.
Displayed margin9.8%Largest probability gapDrawDifference+0.4 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Puebla (W) win8%12.5011.008.3%-0.3 pp
Draw15%6.676.2514.6%+0.4 pp
Chivas Guadalajara (W) win77%1.301.1877.2%-0.2 pp
Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Home share of expected goals 14.3%
Total expected goals2.58Balanced
Dedicated goals model: Over 48% · Under 52%
Away share of expected goals 85.7%
Projected score0–2BTTS splitYes 28% · No 72%Match profileBalanced
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Home-context · form sequence
1.00pts / matchPuebla (W)
LWDDL
Played5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Points5
SignalHome matches over 2.5: 4/5
Away-context · form sequence
1.60pts / matchChivas Guadalajara (W)
WLWDD
Played5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Points8
SignalHome failed to score: 3/5
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
8%
Win probability excluding draw
77%5
Points from supplied form
80.37
Expected goals
2.21Puebla (W)Chivas Guadalajara (W)
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Model and market agree on AWAY
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 15%.
Match questions
Puebla (W) vs Chivas Guadalajara (W) FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Away win · Projected score 0–2 · 77% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
Puebla (W) win 8%，Draw 15%，Chivas Guadalajara (W) win 77%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 2.58 · Over 2.5 48% · Current selection Under。