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MEX Mexico Liga MX Femenil · Zápas ·

Puebla (Ž) vs Chivas Guadalajara (Ž)

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Domáci form
Projected score0–22.58 expected goals
Hostia form
Výhra domácich8%
Remíza15%
Výhra hostí77%
Full model forecastVýhra hostíTier A · 77% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVýhra hostí77% selection probability
Projected score0–2Puebla (Ž)Chivas Guadalajara (Ž)
Expected goals2.58Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Menej52% for the selected side
Oba tímy skórujúNie72% for the selected side
Expected corners10.0Viac 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketVýberPravdepodobnosťFérový kurz
8% / 15% / 77%Výsledok zápasuVýhra hostí77%1.30
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Puebla (Ž) win (7.9%)Dvojitá šancaX292.1%1.09
Viac 48% · Menej 52%Goals 2.5Menej52%1.92
Áno 28% · Nie 72%Oba tímy skórujúNie72%1.39
2.58 total expected goalsPresné skóre0–2
10.0 expected match cornersRohyViac 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin9.8%Largest probability gapDrawDifference+0.4 pp
OutcomePredpoveďFérový kurzReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Puebla (Ž) win8%12.5011.008.3%-0.3 pp
Remíza15%6.676.2514.6%+0.4 pp
Chivas Guadalajara (Ž) win77%1.301.1877.2%-0.2 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Puebla (Ž)0.37

Domáci share of expected goals 14.3%

Total expected goals2.58Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Viac 48% · Menej 52%

Chivas Guadalajara (Ž)2.21

Hostia share of expected goals 85.7%

Projected score0–2BTTS splitÁno 28% · Nie 72%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domáci-context · form sequence

Puebla (Ž)

1.00pts / match
Odohrané5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Body5

SignalDomáci matches over 2.5: 4/5

Hostia-context · form sequence

Chivas Guadalajara (Ž)

1.60pts / match
Odohrané5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Body8

SignalDomáci failed to score: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
8%
Výhra probability excluding draw
77%
5
Points from supplied form
8
0.37
Expected goals
2.21
Puebla (Ž)Chivas Guadalajara (Ž)
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Puebla (Ž) signalDomáci matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Chivas Guadalajara (Ž) signalDomáci failed to score: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk23% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Remíza probability alone is 15%.

Match questions

Puebla (Ž) vs Chivas Guadalajara (Ž) FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Výhra hostí · Projected score 0–2 · 77% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Puebla (Ž) výhra 8%,Remíza 15%,Chivas Guadalajara (Ž) výhra 77%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.58 · Viac 2.5 48% · Current selection Menej