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MEX Mexico Liga MX Femenil · Spiel ·

Puebla (F) vs Chivas Guadalajara (F)

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Heim form
Projected score0–22.58 expected goals
Auswärts form
Heimsieg8%
Unentschieden15%
Auswärtssieg77%
Full model forecastAuswärtssiegTier A · 77% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callAuswärtssieg77% selection probability
Projected score0–2Puebla (F)Chivas Guadalajara (F)
Expected goals2.58Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Unter52% for the selected side
Beide Teams treffenNein72% for the selected side
Expected corners10.0Über 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketAuswahlWahrscheinlichkeitFaire Quote
8% / 15% / 77%SpielergebnisAuswärtssieg77%1.30
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Puebla (F) win (7.9%)Doppelte ChanceX292.1%1.09
Über 48% · Unter 52%Goals 2.5Unter52%1.92
Ja 28% · Nein 72%Beide Teams treffenNein72%1.39
2.58 total expected goalsGenaues Ergebnis0–2
10.0 expected match cornersEckenÜber 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin9.8%Largest probability gapDrawDifference+0.4 pp
OutcomePrognoseFaire QuoteReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Puebla (F) win8%12.5011.008.3%-0.3 pp
Unentschieden15%6.676.2514.6%+0.4 pp
Chivas Guadalajara (F) win77%1.301.1877.2%-0.2 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Puebla (F)0.37

Heim share of expected goals 14.3%

Total expected goals2.58Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Über 48% · Unter 52%

Chivas Guadalajara (F)2.21

Auswärts share of expected goals 85.7%

Projected score0–2BTTS splitJa 28% · Nein 72%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Heim-context · form sequence

Puebla (F)

1.00pts / match
Gespielt5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Punkte5

SignalHeim matches over 2.5: 4/5

Auswärts-context · form sequence

Chivas Guadalajara (F)

1.60pts / match
Gespielt5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Punkte8

SignalHeim failed to score: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
8%
Gewinn probability excluding draw
77%
5
Points from supplied form
8
0.37
Expected goals
2.21
Puebla (F)Chivas Guadalajara (F)
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Puebla (F) signalHeim matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Chivas Guadalajara (F) signalHeim failed to score: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk23% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Unentschieden probability alone is 15%.

Match questions

Puebla (F) vs Chivas Guadalajara (F) FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Auswärtssieg · Projected score 0–2 · 77% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Puebla (F) Gewinn 8%,Unentschieden 15%,Chivas Guadalajara (F) Gewinn 77%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.58 · Über 2.5 48% · Current selection Unter