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MEX Mexico Liga MX Femenil · Partido ·

Puebla (F) vs Chivas Guadalajara (F)

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Local form
Projected score0–22.58 expected goals
Visitante form
Victoria local8%
Empate15%
Victoria visitante77%
Full model forecastVictoria visitanteTier A · 77% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoria visitante77% selection probability
Projected score0–2Puebla (F)Chivas Guadalajara (F)
Expected goals2.58Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Menos de52% for the selected side
Ambos equipos marcanNo72% for the selected side
Expected corners10.0Más de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecciónProbabilidadCuotas justas
8% / 15% / 77%Resultado del partidoVictoria visitante77%1.30
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Puebla (F) win (7.9%)Doble OportunidadX292.1%1.09
Más de 48% · Menos de 52%Goals 2.5Menos de52%1.92
Sí 28% · No 72%Ambos equipos marcanNo72%1.39
2.58 total expected goalsMarcador exacto0–2
10.0 expected match cornersCórnersMás de 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin9.8%Largest probability gapDrawDifference+0.4 pp
OutcomePronósticoCuotas justasReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Puebla (F) win8%12.5011.008.3%-0.3 pp
Empate15%6.676.2514.6%+0.4 pp
Chivas Guadalajara (F) win77%1.301.1877.2%-0.2 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Puebla (F)0.37

Local share of expected goals 14.3%

Total expected goals2.58Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Más de 48% · Menos de 52%

Chivas Guadalajara (F)2.21

Visitante share of expected goals 85.7%

Projected score0–2BTTS split 28% · No 72%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Local-context · form sequence

Puebla (F)

1.00pts / match
Jugados5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Puntos5

SignalLocal matches over 2.5: 4/5

Visitante-context · form sequence

Chivas Guadalajara (F)

1.60pts / match
Jugados5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Puntos8

SignalLocal failed to score: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
8%
Ganado probability excluding draw
77%
5
Points from supplied form
8
0.37
Expected goals
2.21
Puebla (F)Chivas Guadalajara (F)
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Puebla (F) signalLocal matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Chivas Guadalajara (F) signalLocal failed to score: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk23% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 15%.

Match questions

Puebla (F) vs Chivas Guadalajara (F) FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoria visitante · Projected score 0–2 · 77% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Puebla (F) ganada 8%,Empate 15%,Chivas Guadalajara (F) ganada 77%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.58 · Más de 2.5 48% · Current selection Menos de