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MEX Mexico Liga MX Femenil · Kamp ·

Puebla (W) vs Chivas Guadalajara (W)

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hjemme form
Projected score0–22.58 expected goals
Borte form
Hjemmeseier8%
Uavgjort15%
Borteseier77%
Full model forecastBorteseierTier A · 77% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callBorteseier77% selection probability
Projected score0–2Puebla (W)Chivas Guadalajara (W)
Expected goals2.58Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Under52% for the selected side
Begge lag scorerNei72% for the selected side
Expected corners10.0Over 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValgSannsynlighetRettferdig odds
8% / 15% / 77%KampresultatBorteseier77%1.30
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Puebla (W) win (7.9%)Dobbel sjanseX292.1%1.09
Over 48% · Under 52%Goals 2.5Under52%1.92
Ja 28% · Nei 72%Begge lag scorerNei72%1.39
2.58 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat0–2
10.0 expected match cornersHjørnesparkOver 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin9.8%Largest probability gapDrawDifference+0.4 pp
OutcomePrognoseRettferdig oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Puebla (W) win8%12.5011.008.3%-0.3 pp
Uavgjort15%6.676.2514.6%+0.4 pp
Chivas Guadalajara (W) win77%1.301.1877.2%-0.2 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Puebla (W)0.37

Hjemme share of expected goals 14.3%

Total expected goals2.58Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Over 48% · Under 52%

Chivas Guadalajara (W)2.21

Borte share of expected goals 85.7%

Projected score0–2BTTS splitJa 28% · Nei 72%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hjemme-context · form sequence

Puebla (W)

1.00pts / match
Spilt5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Poeng5

SignalHjemme matches over 2.5: 4/5

Borte-context · form sequence

Chivas Guadalajara (W)

1.60pts / match
Spilt5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Poeng8

SignalHjemme failed to score: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
8%
Vunnet probability excluding draw
77%
5
Points from supplied form
8
0.37
Expected goals
2.21
Puebla (W)Chivas Guadalajara (W)
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Puebla (W) signalHjemme matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Chivas Guadalajara (W) signalHjemme failed to score: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk23% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Uavgjort probability alone is 15%.

Match questions

Puebla (W) vs Chivas Guadalajara (W) FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Borteseier · Projected score 0–2 · 77% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Puebla (W) vunnet 8%,Uavgjort 15%,Chivas Guadalajara (W) vunnet 77%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.58 · Over 2.5 48% · Current selection Under