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MEX Mexico Liga MX Femenil · Fixture ·

Queretaro (W) vs Santos Laguna (W)

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score1–12.35 expected goals
Away form
Home win32%
Draw30%
Away win37%
Full model forecastAway winTier A · 37% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callAway win37% selection probability
Projected score1–1Queretaro (W)Santos Laguna (W)
Expected goals2.35Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Under58% for the selected side
Both teams scoreNo52% for the selected side
Expected corners10.3Over 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
32% / 30% / 37%Match resultAway win37%2.70
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (30.2%)Double chance1269.8%1.43
Over 42% · Under 58%Goals 2.5Under58%1.72
Yes 48% · No 52%Both teams scoreNo52%1.92
2.35 total expected goalsCorrect score1–1
10.3 expected match cornersCornersOver 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityFair odds
Queretaro (W) win32%3.13
Draw30%3.33
Santos Laguna (W) win37%2.70

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Queretaro (W)1.10

Home share of expected goals 46.8%

Total expected goals2.35Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Over 42% · Under 58%

Santos Laguna (W)1.25

Away share of expected goals 53.2%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitYes 48% · No 52%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Queretaro (W)

0.80pts / match
Played5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Points4

SignalHome matches over 2.5: 4/5

Away-context · form sequence

Santos Laguna (W)

0.80pts / match
Played5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Points4

SignalHome failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
32%
Win probability excluding draw
37%
4
Points from supplied form
4
1.10
Expected goals
1.25
Queretaro (W)Santos Laguna (W)
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Queretaro (W) signalHome matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Santos Laguna (W) signalHome failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk63% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 30%.

Match questions

Queretaro (W) vs Santos Laguna (W) FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Away win · Projected score 1–1 · 37% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Queretaro (W) win 32%,Draw 30%,Santos Laguna (W) win 37%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.35 · Over 2.5 42% · Current selection Under