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MEX Mexico Liga MX Femenil · Мач ·

Керетаро (Ж) vs Сантос Лагуна (Ж)

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Домакин form
Projected score1–12.35 expected goals
Гост form
Победа за домакина34%
Равен28%
Победа за госта38%
Full model forecastПобеда за гостаTier A · 38% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда за госта38% selection probability
Projected score1–1Керетаро (Ж)Сантос Лагуна (Ж)
Expected goals2.35Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Под58% for the selected side
И двата отбора да отбележатНе52% for the selected side
Expected corners10.3Над 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketИзборВероятностСправедлив коефициент
34% / 28% / 38%Резултат от мачаПобеда за госта38%2.63
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (28%)Двоен шанс1272%1.39
Над 42% · Под 58%Goals 2.5Под58%1.72
Да 48% · Не 52%И двата отбора да отбележатНе52%1.92
2.35 total expected goalsТочен резултат1–1
10.3 expected match cornersКорнериНад 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.8%Largest probability gapDrawDifference+0.1 pp
OutcomeПрогнозаСправедлив коефициентReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Керетаро (Ж) win34%2.942.6334%0.0 pp
Равен28%3.573.2027.9%+0.1 pp
Сантос Лагуна (Ж) win38%2.632.3538.1%-0.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Керетаро (Ж)1.10

Домакин share of expected goals 46.8%

Total expected goals2.35Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Над 42% · Под 58%

Сантос Лагуна (Ж)1.25

Гост share of expected goals 53.2%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitДа 48% · Не 52%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Домакин-context · form sequence

Керетаро (Ж)

0.80pts / match
Изиграни5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Точки4

SignalДомакин matches over 2.5: 4/5

Гост-context · form sequence

Сантос Лагуна (Ж)

0.80pts / match
Изиграни5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Точки4

SignalДомакин failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
34%
Печеливш probability excluding draw
38%
4
Points from supplied form
4
1.10
Expected goals
1.25
Керетаро (Ж)Сантос Лагуна (Ж)
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Керетаро (Ж) signalДомакин matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Сантос Лагуна (Ж) signalДомакин failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk62% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Равен probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

Керетаро (Ж) vs Сантос Лагуна (Ж) FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа за госта · Projected score 1–1 · 38% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Керетаро (Ж) печеливш 34%,Равен 28%,Сантос Лагуна (Ж) печеливш 38%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.35 · Над 2.5 42% · Current selection Под