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MEX Mexico Liga MX Femenil · Partita ·

Necaxa (F) vs Unam Pumas (W)

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Casa form
Projected score1–33.47 expected goals
Trasferta form
Vittoria casa15%
Pareggio21%
Vittoria ospite64%
Full model forecastVittoria ospiteTier A · 64% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVittoria ospite64% selection probability
Projected score1–3Necaxa (F)Unam Pumas (W)
Expected goals3.47Apertura match profile
Goals 2.5Sopra67% for the selected side
Entrambe le squadre segnano52% for the selected side
Expected corners9.5Sotto 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelezioneProbabilitàQuote eque
15% / 21% / 64%Esito partitaVittoria ospite64%1.56
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Necaxa (F) win (15%)Doppia ChanceX285%1.18
Sopra 67% · Sotto 33%Goals 2.5Sopra67%1.49
Sì 52% · No 48%Entrambe le squadre segnano52%1.92
3.47 total expected goalsRisultato esatto1–3
9.5 expected match cornersCornerSotto 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityQuote eque
Necaxa (F) win15%6.67
Pareggio21%4.76
Unam Pumas (W) win64%1.56

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Necaxa (F)0.82

Casa share of expected goals 23.6%

Total expected goals3.47Apertura

Dedicated goals model: Sopra 67% · Sotto 33%

Unam Pumas (W)2.65

Trasferta share of expected goals 76.4%

Projected score1–3BTTS split 52% · No 48%Match profileApertura
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Casa-context · form sequence

Necaxa (F)

0.00pts / match
Giocate5Wins0Drawn0Losses5Punti0

SignalCasa matches over 2.5: 5/5

Trasferta-context · form sequence

Unam Pumas (W)

1.00pts / match
Giocate5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Punti5

SignalTrasferta matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
15%
Vinta probability excluding draw
64%
0
Points from supplied form
5
0.82
Expected goals
2.65
Necaxa (F)Unam Pumas (W)
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Necaxa (F) signalCasa matches over 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Unam Pumas (W) signalTrasferta matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk36% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Pareggio probability alone is 21%.

Match questions

Necaxa (F) vs Unam Pumas (W) FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vittoria ospite · Projected score 1–3 · 64% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Necaxa (F) vinta 15%,Pareggio 21%,Unam Pumas (W) vinta 64%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.47 · Sopra 2.5 67% · Current selection Sopra