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MEX Mexico Liga MX Femenil · Wedstrijd ·

Necaxa (D) vs Unam Pumas (W)

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Thuis form
Projected score1–33.47 expected goals
Uit form
Thuiswinst15%
Gelijkspel21%
Uitwinst64%
Full model forecastUitwinstTier A · 64% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callUitwinst64% selection probability
Projected score1–3Necaxa (D)Unam Pumas (W)
Expected goals3.47Openen match profile
Goals 2.5Boven67% for the selected side
Beide teams scorenJa52% for the selected side
Expected corners9.5Onder 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
15% / 21% / 64%WedstrijdresultaatUitwinst64%1.56
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Necaxa (D) win (15%)Dubbele KansX285%1.18
Boven 67% · Onder 33%Goals 2.5Boven67%1.49
Ja 52% · Nee 48%Beide teams scorenJa52%1.92
3.47 total expected goalsExacte score1–3
9.5 expected match cornersHoekschoppenOnder 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nee snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityEerlijke odds
Necaxa (D) win15%6.67
Gelijkspel21%4.76
Unam Pumas (W) win64%1.56

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Necaxa (D)0.82

Thuis share of expected goals 23.6%

Total expected goals3.47Openen

Dedicated goals model: Boven 67% · Onder 33%

Unam Pumas (W)2.65

Uit share of expected goals 76.4%

Projected score1–3BTTS splitJa 52% · Nee 48%Match profileOpenen
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Thuis-context · form sequence

Necaxa (D)

0.00pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins0Drawn0Losses5Punten0

SignalThuis matches over 2.5: 5/5

Uit-context · form sequence

Unam Pumas (W)

1.00pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Punten5

SignalUit matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
15%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
64%
0
Points from supplied form
5
0.82
Expected goals
2.65
Necaxa (D)Unam Pumas (W)
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Necaxa (D) signalThuis matches over 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Unam Pumas (W) signalUit matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk36% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 21%.

Match questions

Necaxa (D) vs Unam Pumas (W) FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Uitwinst · Projected score 1–3 · 64% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Necaxa (D) gewonnen 15%,Gelijkspel 21%,Unam Pumas (W) gewonnen 64%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.47 · Boven 2.5 67% · Current selection Boven