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MEX Mexico Liga MX Femenil · Wedstrijd ·

Atlas (D) vs Pachuca (D)

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Thuis form
Projected score1–34.27 expected goals
Uit form
Thuiswinst16%
Gelijkspel19%
Uitwinst65%
Full model forecastUitwinstTier A · 65% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callUitwinst65% selection probability
Projected score1–3Atlas (D)Pachuca (D)
Expected goals4.27Openen match profile
Goals 2.5Boven80% for the selected side
Beide teams scorenJa64% for the selected side
Expected corners9.5Onder 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
16% / 19% / 65%WedstrijdresultaatUitwinst65%1.54
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Atlas (D) win (15.5%)Dubbele KansX284.5%1.18
Boven 80% · Onder 20%Goals 2.5Boven80%1.25
Ja 64% · Nee 36%Beide teams scorenJa64%1.56
4.27 total expected goalsExacte score1–3
9.5 expected match cornersHoekschoppenOnder 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nee snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityEerlijke odds
Atlas (D) win16%6.25
Gelijkspel19%5.26
Pachuca (D) win65%1.54

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Atlas (D)1.10

Thuis share of expected goals 25.8%

Total expected goals4.27Openen

Dedicated goals model: Boven 80% · Onder 20%

Pachuca (D)3.17

Uit share of expected goals 74.2%

Projected score1–3BTTS splitJa 64% · Nee 36%Match profileOpenen
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Thuis-context · form sequence

Atlas (D)

0.80pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Punten4

SignalThuis matches over 2.5: 3/5

Uit-context · form sequence

Pachuca (D)

1.20pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Punten6

SignalUit clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
16%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
65%
4
Points from supplied form
6
1.10
Expected goals
3.17
Atlas (D)Pachuca (D)
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Atlas (D) signalThuis matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Pachuca (D) signalUit clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk35% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 19%.

Match questions

Atlas (D) vs Pachuca (D) FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Uitwinst · Projected score 1–3 · 65% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Atlas (D) gewonnen 16%,Gelijkspel 19%,Pachuca (D) gewonnen 65%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 4.27 · Boven 2.5 80% · Current selection Boven