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MEX Mexico Liga MX Femenil · Kamp ·

Atlas (K) vs Pachuca (K)

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hjemme form
Projected score1–34.27 expected goals
Ude form
Hjemmesejr16%
Uafgjort19%
Udesejr65%
Full model forecastUdesejrTier A · 65% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callUdesejr65% selection probability
Projected score1–3Atlas (K)Pachuca (K)
Expected goals4.27Åbn match profile
Goals 2.5Over80% for the selected side
Begge hold scorerJa64% for the selected side
Expected corners9.5Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValgSandsynlighedFair odds
16% / 19% / 65%KampresultatUdesejr65%1.54
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Atlas (K) win (15.6%)DobbeltchanceX284.4%1.18
Over 80% · Under 20%Goals 2.5Over80%1.25
Ja 64% · Nej 36%Begge hold scorerJa64%1.56
4.27 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat1–3
9.5 expected match cornersHjørnesparkUnder 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nej snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityFair odds
Atlas (K) win16%6.25
Uafgjort19%5.26
Pachuca (K) win65%1.54

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Atlas (K)1.10

Hjemme share of expected goals 25.8%

Total expected goals4.27Åbn

Dedicated goals model: Over 80% · Under 20%

Pachuca (K)3.17

Ude share of expected goals 74.2%

Projected score1–3BTTS splitJa 64% · Nej 36%Match profileÅbn
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hjemme-context · form sequence

Atlas (K)

0.80pts / match
Spillet5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Point4

SignalHjemme matches over 2.5: 3/5

Ude-context · form sequence

Pachuca (K)

1.20pts / match
Spillet5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Point6

SignalUde clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
16%
Vundet probability excluding draw
65%
4
Points from supplied form
6
1.10
Expected goals
3.17
Atlas (K)Pachuca (K)
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Atlas (K) signalHjemme matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Pachuca (K) signalUde clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk35% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Uafgjort probability alone is 19%.

Match questions

Atlas (K) vs Pachuca (K) FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Udesejr · Projected score 1–3 · 65% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Atlas (K) vundet 16%,Uafgjort 19%,Pachuca (K) vundet 65%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 4.27 · Over 2.5 80% · Current selection Over