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MEX Mexico Liga MX Femenil · Meci ·

Atlas (F) vs Pachuca (F)

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Gazde form
Projected score1–34.27 expected goals
Oaspeți form
Victorie gazde16%
Egal19%
Victorie oaspeți65%
Full model forecastVictorie oaspețiTier A · 65% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictorie oaspeți65% selection probability
Projected score1–3Atlas (F)Pachuca (F)
Expected goals4.27Deschide match profile
Goals 2.5Peste80% for the selected side
Ambele echipe marcheazăDa64% for the selected side
Expected corners9.5Sub 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecțieProbabilitateCotă corectă
16% / 19% / 65%Rezultatul meciuluiVictorie oaspeți65%1.54
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Atlas (F) win (15.5%)Șansă dublăX284.5%1.18
Peste 80% · Sub 20%Goals 2.5Peste80%1.25
Da 64% · Nu 36%Ambele echipe marcheazăDa64%1.56
4.27 total expected goalsScor corect1–3
9.5 expected match cornersCornereSub 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nu snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityCotă corectă
Atlas (F) win16%6.25
Egal19%5.26
Pachuca (F) win65%1.54

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Atlas (F)1.10

Gazde share of expected goals 25.8%

Total expected goals4.27Deschide

Dedicated goals model: Peste 80% · Sub 20%

Pachuca (F)3.17

Oaspeți share of expected goals 74.2%

Projected score1–3BTTS splitDa 64% · Nu 36%Match profileDeschide
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Gazde-context · form sequence

Atlas (F)

0.80pts / match
Jucate5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Puncte4

SignalGazde matches over 2.5: 3/5

Oaspeți-context · form sequence

Pachuca (F)

1.20pts / match
Jucate5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Puncte6

SignalOaspeți clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
16%
Câștig probability excluding draw
65%
4
Points from supplied form
6
1.10
Expected goals
3.17
Atlas (F)Pachuca (F)
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Atlas (F) signalGazde matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Pachuca (F) signalOaspeți clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk35% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Egal probability alone is 19%.

Match questions

Atlas (F) vs Pachuca (F) FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victorie oaspeți · Projected score 1–3 · 65% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Atlas (F) câștig 16%,Egal 19%,Pachuca (F) câștig 65%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 4.27 · Peste 2.5 80% · Current selection Peste