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MEX Mexico Liga MX Femenil · Partita ·

Club America (F) vs Cruz Azul (F)

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Casa form
Projected score3–13.87 expected goals
Trasferta form
Vittoria casa55%
Pareggio23%
Vittoria ospite22%
Full model forecastVittoria casaTier A · 55% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVittoria casa55% selection probability
Projected score3–1Club America (F)Cruz Azul (F)
Expected goals3.87Apertura match profile
Goals 2.5Sopra74% for the selected side
Entrambe le squadre segnano67% for the selected side
Expected corners10.5Sopra 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelezioneProbabilitàQuote eque
55% / 23% / 22%Esito partitaVittoria casa55%1.82
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Cruz Azul (F) win (21.8%)Doppia Chance1X78.2%1.28
Sopra 74% · Sotto 26%Goals 2.5Sopra74%1.35
Sì 67% · No 33%Entrambe le squadre segnano67%1.49
3.87 total expected goalsRisultato esatto3–1
10.5 expected match cornersCornerSopra 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityQuote eque
Club America (F) win55%1.82
Pareggio23%4.35
Cruz Azul (F) win22%4.55

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Club America (F)2.60

Casa share of expected goals 67.2%

Total expected goals3.87Apertura

Dedicated goals model: Sopra 74% · Sotto 26%

Cruz Azul (F)1.27

Trasferta share of expected goals 32.8%

Projected score3–1BTTS split 67% · No 33%Match profileApertura
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Casa-context · form sequence

Club America (F)

2.40pts / match
Giocate5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Punti12

SignalCasa unbeaten 4/5

Trasferta-context · form sequence

Cruz Azul (F)

1.60pts / match
Giocate5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Punti8

SignalCasa matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
55%
Vinta probability excluding draw
22%
12
Points from supplied form
8
2.60
Expected goals
1.27
Club America (F)Cruz Azul (F)
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Club America (F) signalCasa unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Cruz Azul (F) signalCasa matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk45% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Pareggio probability alone is 23%.

Match questions

Club America (F) vs Cruz Azul (F) FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vittoria casa · Projected score 3–1 · 55% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Club America (F) vinta 55%,Pareggio 23%,Cruz Azul (F) vinta 22%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.87 · Sopra 2.5 74% · Current selection Sopra