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NLD Paesi Bassi - Eerste Divisie · Partita ·

AZ riserve vs Maastricht

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Casa form
Projected score2–13.37 expected goals
Trasferta form
Vittoria casa47%
Pareggio26%
Vittoria ospite27%
Full model forecastVittoria casaTier A · 47% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVittoria casa47% selection probability
Projected score2–1AZ riserveMaastricht
Expected goals3.37Apertura match profile
Goals 2.5Sopra65% for the selected side
Entrambe le squadre segnano64% for the selected side
Expected corners10.7Sopra 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelezioneProbabilitàQuote eque
47% / 26% / 27%Esito partitaVittoria casa47%2.13
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (25.6%)Doppia Chance1274.4%1.34
Sopra 65% · Sotto 35%Goals 2.5Sopra65%1.54
Sì 64% · No 36%Entrambe le squadre segnano64%1.56
3.37 total expected goalsRisultato esatto2–1
10.7 expected match cornersCornerSopra 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityQuote eque
AZ riserve win47%2.13
Pareggio26%3.85
Maastricht win27%3.70

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

AZ riserve2.04

Casa share of expected goals 60.5%

Total expected goals3.37Apertura

Dedicated goals model: Sopra 65% · Sotto 35%

Maastricht1.33

Trasferta share of expected goals 39.5%

Projected score2–1BTTS split 64% · No 36%Match profileApertura
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Casa-context · form sequence

AZ riserve

1.80pts / match
Giocate5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Punti9

SignalCasa won 3/5

Trasferta-context · form sequence

Maastricht

2.00pts / match
Giocate5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Punti10

SignalCasa matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
47%
Vinta probability excluding draw
27%
9
Points from supplied form
10
2.04
Expected goals
1.33
AZ riserveMaastricht
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01AZ riserve signalCasa won 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Maastricht signalCasa matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk53% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Pareggio probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

AZ riserve vs Maastricht FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vittoria casa · Projected score 2–1 · 47% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

AZ riserve vinta 47%,Pareggio 26%,Maastricht vinta 27%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.37 · Sopra 2.5 65% · Current selection Sopra