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NLD Netherlands Eerste Divisie · Maç ·

AZ Reserves vs Maastricht

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Ev Sahibi form
Projected score2–13.37 expected goals
Deplasman form
Ev sahibi kazanır47%
Beraberlik26%
Deplasman kazanır27%
Full model forecastEv sahibi kazanırTier A · 47% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callEv sahibi kazanır47% selection probability
Projected score2–1AZ ReservesMaastricht
Expected goals3.37Açılış match profile
Goals 2.5Üst65% for the selected side
Karşılıklı gol varEvet64% for the selected side
Expected corners10.7Üst 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSeçimOlasılıkAdil oran
47% / 26% / 27%Maç sonucuEv sahibi kazanır47%2.13
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (25.6%)Çifte Şans1274.4%1.34
Üst 65% · Alt 35%Goals 2.5Üst65%1.54
Evet 64% · Hayır 36%Karşılıklı gol varEvet64%1.56
3.37 total expected goalsDoğru skor2–1
10.7 expected match cornersKornerlerÜst 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Hayır snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityAdil oran
AZ Reserves win47%2.13
Beraberlik26%3.85
Maastricht win27%3.70

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

AZ Reserves2.04

Ev Sahibi share of expected goals 60.5%

Total expected goals3.37Açılış

Dedicated goals model: Üst 65% · Alt 35%

Maastricht1.33

Deplasman share of expected goals 39.5%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitEvet 64% · Hayır 36%Match profileAçılış
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Ev Sahibi-context · form sequence

AZ Reserves

1.80pts / match
Oynanan5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Puan9

SignalEv Sahibi won 3/5

Deplasman-context · form sequence

Maastricht

2.00pts / match
Oynanan5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Puan10

SignalEv Sahibi matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
47%
Kazanç probability excluding draw
27%
9
Points from supplied form
10
2.04
Expected goals
1.33
AZ ReservesMaastricht
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01AZ Reserves signalEv Sahibi won 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Maastricht signalEv Sahibi matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk53% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Beraberlik probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

AZ Reserves vs Maastricht FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Ev sahibi kazanır · Projected score 2–1 · 47% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

AZ Reserves kazanç 47%,Beraberlik 26%,Maastricht kazanç 27%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.37 · 2.5 Üst 65% · Current selection Üst