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NLD Holandia - Eerste Divisie · Mecz ·

AZ - Rezerwa vs Maastricht

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Gospodarze form
Projected score2–13.37 expected goals
Goście form
Wygrana gospodarzy47%
Remis26%
Wygrana gości27%
Full model forecastWygrana gospodarzyTier A · 47% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callWygrana gospodarzy47% selection probability
Projected score2–1AZ - RezerwaMaastricht
Expected goals3.37Otwarcie match profile
Goals 2.5Powyżej65% for the selected side
Obie drużyny strzeląTak64% for the selected side
Expected corners10.7Powyżej 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketWybórPrawdopodobieństwoUczciwy kurs
47% / 26% / 27%Wynik meczuWygrana gospodarzy47%2.13
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (25.6%)Podwójna szansa1274.4%1.34
Powyżej 65% · Poniżej 35%Goals 2.5Powyżej65%1.54
Tak 64% · Nie 36%Obie drużyny strzeląTak64%1.56
3.37 total expected goalsDokładny wynik2–1
10.7 expected match cornersRożnePowyżej 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nie snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityUczciwy kurs
AZ - Rezerwa win47%2.13
Remis26%3.85
Maastricht win27%3.70

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

AZ - Rezerwa2.04

Gospodarze share of expected goals 60.5%

Total expected goals3.37Otwarcie

Dedicated goals model: Powyżej 65% · Poniżej 35%

Maastricht1.33

Goście share of expected goals 39.5%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitTak 64% · Nie 36%Match profileOtwarcie
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Gospodarze-context · form sequence

AZ - Rezerwa

1.80pts / match
Rozegrane5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Punkty9

SignalGospodarze won 3/5

Goście-context · form sequence

Maastricht

2.00pts / match
Rozegrane5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Punkty10

SignalGospodarze matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
47%
Wygrana probability excluding draw
27%
9
Points from supplied form
10
2.04
Expected goals
1.33
AZ - RezerwaMaastricht
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01AZ - Rezerwa signalGospodarze won 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Maastricht signalGospodarze matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk53% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Remis probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

AZ - Rezerwa vs Maastricht FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Wygrana gospodarzy · Projected score 2–1 · 47% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

AZ - Rezerwa wygrana 47%,Remis 26%,Maastricht wygrana 27%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.37 · Powyżej 2.5 65% · Current selection Powyżej