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NLD Ολλανδία - Eerste Divisie · Αγώνας ·

Άλκμααρ Β’ vs Μάαστριχτ

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Γηπεδούχος form
Projected score2–13.37 expected goals
Φιλοξενούμενος form
Νίκη γηπεδούχου47%
Ισοπαλία26%
Νίκη φιλοξενούμενου27%
Full model forecastΝίκη γηπεδούχουTier A · 47% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callΝίκη γηπεδούχου47% selection probability
Projected score2–1Άλκμααρ Β’Μάαστριχτ
Expected goals3.37Άνοιγμα match profile
Goals 2.5Άνω65% for the selected side
Σκοράρουν και οι δύοΝαι64% for the selected side
Expected corners10.7Άνω 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketΕπιλογήΠιθανότηταΔίκαιη απόδοση
47% / 26% / 27%Αποτέλεσμα αγώναΝίκη γηπεδούχου47%2.13
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (25.6%)Διπλή Ευκαιρία1274.4%1.34
Άνω 65% · Κάτω 35%Goals 2.5Άνω65%1.54
Ναι 64% · Όχι 36%Σκοράρουν και οι δύοΝαι64%1.56
3.37 total expected goalsΑκριβές σκορ2–1
10.7 expected match cornersΚόρνερΆνω 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Όχι snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityΔίκαιη απόδοση
Άλκμααρ Β’ win47%2.13
Ισοπαλία26%3.85
Μάαστριχτ win27%3.70

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Άλκμααρ Β’2.04

Γηπεδούχος share of expected goals 60.5%

Total expected goals3.37Άνοιγμα

Dedicated goals model: Άνω 65% · Κάτω 35%

Μάαστριχτ1.33

Φιλοξενούμενος share of expected goals 39.5%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitΝαι 64% · Όχι 36%Match profileΆνοιγμα
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Γηπεδούχος-context · form sequence

Άλκμααρ Β’

1.80pts / match
Αγώνες5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Πόντοι9

SignalΓηπεδούχος won 3/5

Φιλοξενούμενος-context · form sequence

Μάαστριχτ

2.00pts / match
Αγώνες5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Πόντοι10

SignalΓηπεδούχος matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
47%
Νίκη probability excluding draw
27%
9
Points from supplied form
10
2.04
Expected goals
1.33
Άλκμααρ Β’Μάαστριχτ
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Άλκμααρ Β’ signalΓηπεδούχος won 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Μάαστριχτ signalΓηπεδούχος matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk53% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ισοπαλία probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

Άλκμααρ Β’ vs Μάαστριχτ FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Νίκη γηπεδούχου · Projected score 2–1 · 47% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Άλκμααρ Β’ νίκη 47%,Ισοπαλία 26%,Μάαστριχτ νίκη 27%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.37 · Άνω 2.5 65% · Current selection Άνω