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NLD Nederlandene - Eerste Divisie · Kamp ·

AZ reserver vs Maastricht

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hjemme form
Projected score2–13.37 expected goals
Ude form
Hjemmesejr47%
Uafgjort26%
Udesejr27%
Full model forecastHjemmesejrTier A · 47% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHjemmesejr47% selection probability
Projected score2–1AZ reserverMaastricht
Expected goals3.37Åbn match profile
Goals 2.5Over65% for the selected side
Begge hold scorerJa64% for the selected side
Expected corners10.7Over 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValgSandsynlighedFair odds
47% / 26% / 27%KampresultatHjemmesejr47%2.13
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (25.6%)Dobbeltchance1274.4%1.34
Over 65% · Under 35%Goals 2.5Over65%1.54
Ja 64% · Nej 36%Begge hold scorerJa64%1.56
3.37 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat2–1
10.7 expected match cornersHjørnesparkOver 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nej snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityFair odds
AZ reserver win47%2.13
Uafgjort26%3.85
Maastricht win27%3.70

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

AZ reserver2.04

Hjemme share of expected goals 60.5%

Total expected goals3.37Åbn

Dedicated goals model: Over 65% · Under 35%

Maastricht1.33

Ude share of expected goals 39.5%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 64% · Nej 36%Match profileÅbn
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hjemme-context · form sequence

AZ reserver

1.80pts / match
Spillet5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Point9

SignalHjemme won 3/5

Ude-context · form sequence

Maastricht

2.00pts / match
Spillet5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Point10

SignalHjemme matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
47%
Vundet probability excluding draw
27%
9
Points from supplied form
10
2.04
Expected goals
1.33
AZ reserverMaastricht
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01AZ reserver signalHjemme won 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Maastricht signalHjemme matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk53% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Uafgjort probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

AZ reserver vs Maastricht FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hjemmesejr · Projected score 2–1 · 47% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

AZ reserver vundet 47%,Uafgjort 26%,Maastricht vundet 27%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.37 · Over 2.5 65% · Current selection Over