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NLD Nederlandene - Eerste Divisie · Kamp ·

Roda JC vs NAC

Baseline forecast,stats and analysis

Hjemme form
Projected score2–13.15 expected goals
Ude form
Hjemmesejr44%
Uafgjort23%
Udesejr33%
Baseline forecastHjemmesejrTier C · 44% selection probability
Baseline forecast · Tier C

Match prediction

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHjemmesejr44% selection probability
Projected score2–1Roda JCNAC
Expected goals3.15Åbn match profile
Goals 2.5Over61% for the selected side
Begge hold scorerJa62% for the selected side
Expected corners10.7Over 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValgSandsynlighedFair odds
44% / 23% / 33%KampresultatHjemmesejr44%2.27
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (23.4%)Dobbeltchance1276.6%1.31
Over 61% · Under 39%Goals 2.5Over61%1.64
Ja 62% · Nej 38%Begge hold scorerJa62%1.61
3.15 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat2–1
10.7 expected match cornersHjørnesparkOver 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nej snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityFair odds
Roda JC win44%2.27
Uafgjort23%4.35
NAC win33%3.03

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Roda JC1.71

Hjemme share of expected goals 54.3%

Total expected goals3.15Åbn

Dedicated goals model: Over 61% · Under 39%

NAC1.44

Ude share of expected goals 45.7%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 62% · Nej 38%Match profileÅbn
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hjemme-context · form sequence

Roda JC

1.40pts / match
Spillet5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Point7

SignalUde won 3/5

Ude-context · form sequence

NAC

1.80pts / match
Spillet5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Point9

SignalUde matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
44%
Vundet probability excluding draw
33%
7
Points from supplied form
9
1.71
Expected goals
1.44
Roda JCNAC
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Roda JC signalUde won 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02NAC signalUde matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk56% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Uafgjort probability alone is 23%.

Match questions

Roda JC vs NAC FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hjemmesejr · Projected score 2–1 · 44% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Roda JC vundet 44%,Uafgjort 23%,NAC vundet 33%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.15 · Over 2.5 61% · Current selection Over