Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
47% / 26% / 27%Match resultHome win47%2.13
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (25.6%)Double chance1274.4%1.34
Over 65% · Under 35%Goals 2.5Over65%1.54
Yes 64% · No 36%Both teams scoreYes64%1.56
3.37 total expected goalsCorrect score2–1——
10.7 expected match cornersCornersOver 9.5——
Probability view
Forecast probabilities and fair odds
No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.
OutcomeForecast probabilityFair odds
AZ Reserves win47%2.13
Draw26%3.85
Maastricht win27%3.70
Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Home share of expected goals 60.5%
Total expected goals3.37Open
Dedicated goals model: Over 65% · Under 35%
Away share of expected goals 39.5%
Projected score2–1BTTS splitYes 64% · No 36%Match profileOpen
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Home-context · form sequence
1.80pts / matchAZ Reserves
LWLWW
Played5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Points9
SignalHome won 3/5
Away-context · form sequence
2.00pts / matchMaastricht
WWWDL
Played5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Points10
SignalHome matches over 2.5: 4/5
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
47%
Win probability excluding draw
27%9
Points from supplied form
102.04
Expected goals
1.33AZ ReservesMaastricht
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 26%.
Match questions
AZ Reserves vs Maastricht FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 2–1 · 47% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
AZ Reserves win 47%，Draw 26%，Maastricht win 27%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 3.37 · Over 2.5 65% · Current selection Over。