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NLD Netherlands Eerste Divisie · Fixture ·

FC Volendam vs FC Dordrecht

Baseline forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score2–13.15 expected goals
Away form
Home win44%
Draw23%
Away win33%
Baseline forecastHome winTier C · 44% selection probability
Baseline forecast · Tier C

Match prediction

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win44% selection probability
Projected score2–1FC VolendamFC Dordrecht
Expected goals3.15Open match profile
Goals 2.5Over61% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes62% for the selected side
Expected corners10.6Over 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
44% / 23% / 33%Match resultHome win44%2.27
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (23.4%)Double chance1276.6%1.31
Over 61% · Under 39%Goals 2.5Over61%1.64
Yes 62% · No 38%Both teams scoreYes62%1.61
3.15 total expected goalsCorrect score2–1
10.6 expected match cornersCornersOver 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityFair odds
FC Volendam win44%2.27
Draw23%4.35
FC Dordrecht win33%3.03

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

FC Volendam1.71

Home share of expected goals 54.3%

Total expected goals3.15Open

Dedicated goals model: Over 61% · Under 39%

FC Dordrecht1.44

Away share of expected goals 45.7%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitYes 62% · No 38%Match profileOpen
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

FC Volendam

1.40pts / match
Played5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Points7

SignalHome matches over 2.5: 4/5

Away-context · form sequence

FC Dordrecht

1.40pts / match
Played5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Points7

SignalHome clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
44%
Win probability excluding draw
33%
7
Points from supplied form
7
1.71
Expected goals
1.44
FC VolendamFC Dordrecht
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01FC Volendam signalHome matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02FC Dordrecht signalHome clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk56% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 23%.

Match questions

FC Volendam vs FC Dordrecht FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 2–1 · 44% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

FC Volendam win 44%,Draw 23%,FC Dordrecht win 33%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.15 · Over 2.5 61% · Current selection Over