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NLD Paesi Bassi - Eerste Divisie · Partita ·

Den Bosch vs Vitesse

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Casa form
Projected score2–23.31 expected goals
Trasferta form
Vittoria casa37%
Pareggio27%
Vittoria ospite37%
Full model forecastVittoria casaTier A · 37% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVittoria casa37% selection probability
Projected score2–2Den BoschVitesse
Expected goals3.31Apertura match profile
Goals 2.5Sopra64% for the selected side
Entrambe le squadre segnano66% for the selected side
Expected corners10.4Sopra 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelezioneProbabilitàQuote eque
37% / 27% / 37%Esito partitaVittoria casa37%2.70
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (26.6%)Doppia Chance1273.4%1.36
Sopra 64% · Sotto 36%Goals 2.5Sopra64%1.56
Sì 66% · No 34%Entrambe le squadre segnano66%1.52
3.31 total expected goalsRisultato esatto2–2
10.4 expected match cornersCornerSopra 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityQuote eque
Den Bosch win37%2.70
Pareggio27%3.70
Vitesse win37%2.70

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Den Bosch1.66

Casa share of expected goals 50.2%

Total expected goals3.31Apertura

Dedicated goals model: Sopra 64% · Sotto 36%

Vitesse1.65

Trasferta share of expected goals 49.8%

Projected score2–2BTTS split 66% · No 34%Match profileApertura
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Casa-context · form sequence

Den Bosch

1.60pts / match
Giocate5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Punti8

SignalCasa unbeaten 4/5

Trasferta-context · form sequence

Vitesse

1.60pts / match
Giocate5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Punti8

SignalCasa clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
37%
Vinta probability excluding draw
37%
8
Points from supplied form
8
1.66
Expected goals
1.65
Den BoschVitesse
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Den Bosch signalCasa unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Vitesse signalCasa clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk63% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Pareggio probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

Den Bosch vs Vitesse FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vittoria casa · Projected score 2–2 · 37% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Den Bosch vinta 37%,Pareggio 27%,Vitesse vinta 37%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.31 · Sopra 2.5 64% · Current selection Sopra