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NLD Paesi Bassi - Eerste Divisie · Partita ·

Top Oss vs FC Utrecht riserve

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Casa form
Projected score2–12.97 expected goals
Trasferta form
Vittoria casa38%
Pareggio28%
Vittoria ospite34%
Full model forecastVittoria casaTier A · 38% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVittoria casa38% selection probability
Projected score2–1Top OssFC Utrecht riserve
Expected goals2.97Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Sopra57% for the selected side
Entrambe le squadre segnano60% for the selected side
Expected corners10.8Sopra 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelezioneProbabilitàQuote eque
38% / 28% / 34%Esito partitaVittoria casa38%2.63
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (27.7%)Doppia Chance1272.3%1.38
Sopra 57% · Sotto 43%Goals 2.5Sopra57%1.75
Sì 60% · No 40%Entrambe le squadre segnano60%1.67
2.97 total expected goalsRisultato esatto2–1
10.8 expected match cornersCornerSopra 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityQuote eque
Top Oss win38%2.63
Pareggio28%3.57
FC Utrecht riserve win34%2.94

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Top Oss1.56

Casa share of expected goals 52.5%

Total expected goals2.97Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Sopra 57% · Sotto 43%

FC Utrecht riserve1.41

Trasferta share of expected goals 47.5%

Projected score2–1BTTS split 60% · No 40%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Casa-context · form sequence

Top Oss

0.60pts / match
Giocate5Wins1Drawn0Losses4Punti3

SignalCasa matches over 2.5: 3/5

Trasferta-context · form sequence

FC Utrecht riserve

0.60pts / match
Giocate5Wins1Drawn0Losses4Punti3

SignalCasa failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
38%
Vinta probability excluding draw
34%
3
Points from supplied form
3
1.56
Expected goals
1.41
Top OssFC Utrecht riserve
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Top Oss signalCasa matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02FC Utrecht riserve signalCasa failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk62% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Pareggio probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

Top Oss vs FC Utrecht riserve FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vittoria casa · Projected score 2–1 · 38% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Top Oss vinta 38%,Pareggio 28%,FC Utrecht riserve vinta 34%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.97 · Sopra 2.5 57% · Current selection Sopra