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COL Kolumbia - Primera A · Mérkőzés ·

Alianza vs Atletico Bucaramanga

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hazai form
Projected score1–11.77 expected goals
Vendég form
Hazai győzelem31%
Döntetlen31%
Vendég győzelem38%
Full model forecastVendég győzelemTier A · 38% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVendég győzelem38% selection probability
Projected score1–1AlianzaAtletico Bucaramanga
Expected goals1.77Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Alatt74% for the selected side
Mindkét csapat szerez góltNem66% for the selected side
Expected corners8.9Alatt 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketVálasztásValószínűségValós odds
31% / 31% / 38%Mérkőzés eredményeVendég győzelem38%2.63
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Alianza win (30.9%)Dupla esélyX269.1%1.45
Felett 26% · Alatt 74%Goals 2.5Alatt74%1.35
Igen 34% · Nem 66%Mindkét csapat szerez góltNem66%1.52
1.77 total expected goalsPontos eredmény1–1
8.9 expected match cornersSzögletekAlatt 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin6.7%Largest probability gapAtletico Bucaramanga winDifference+0.5 pp
OutcomeElőrejelzésValós oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Alianza win31%3.233.0031.3%-0.2 pp
Döntetlen31%3.233.0031.3%-0.2 pp
Atletico Bucaramanga win38%2.632.5037.5%+0.5 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Alianza0.78

Hazai share of expected goals 44.1%

Total expected goals1.77Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Felett 26% · Alatt 74%

Atletico Bucaramanga0.99

Vendég share of expected goals 55.9%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitIgen 34% · Nem 66%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hazai-context · form sequence

Alianza

0.60pts / match
Lejátszott5Wins0Drawn3Losses2Pontok3

SignalHazai failed to score: 2/5

Vendég-context · form sequence

Atletico Bucaramanga

1.20pts / match
Lejátszott5Wins1Drawn3Losses1Pontok6

SignalVendég unbeaten 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
31%
Nyert probability excluding draw
38%
3
Points from supplied form
6
0.78
Expected goals
0.99
AlianzaAtletico Bucaramanga
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Alianza signalHazai failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Atletico Bucaramanga signalVendég unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk62% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Döntetlen probability alone is 31%.

Match questions

Alianza vs Atletico Bucaramanga FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vendég győzelem · Projected score 1–1 · 38% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Alianza nyer 31%,Döntetlen 31%,Atletico Bucaramanga nyer 38%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.77 · 2.5 felett 26% · Current selection Alatt