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COL Colombia Primera A · Trận đấu ·

Alianza vs Atletico Bucaramanga

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Chủ nhà form
Projected score1–11.77 expected goals
Khách form
Chủ nhà thắng31%
Hòa31%
Đội khách thắng38%
Full model forecastĐội khách thắngTier A · 38% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callĐội khách thắng38% selection probability
Projected score1–1AlianzaAtletico Bucaramanga
Expected goals1.77Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Xỉu74% for the selected side
Cả hai đội ghi bànKhông66% for the selected side
Expected corners8.9Xỉu 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketLựa chọnXác suấtTỷ lệ công bằng
31% / 31% / 38%Kết quả trận đấuĐội khách thắng38%2.63
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Alianza win (30.9%)Cơ hội képX269.1%1.45
Tài 26% · Xỉu 74%Goals 2.5Xỉu74%1.35
Có 34% · Không 66%Cả hai đội ghi bànKhông66%1.52
1.77 total expected goalsTỷ số chính xác1–1
8.9 expected match cornersPhạt gócXỉu 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin6.7%Largest probability gapAtletico Bucaramanga winDifference+0.5 pp
OutcomeDự đoánTỷ lệ công bằngReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Alianza win31%3.233.0031.3%-0.2 pp
Hòa31%3.233.0031.3%-0.2 pp
Atletico Bucaramanga win38%2.632.5037.5%+0.5 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Alianza0.78

Chủ nhà share of expected goals 44.1%

Total expected goals1.77Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Tài 26% · Xỉu 74%

Atletico Bucaramanga0.99

Khách share of expected goals 55.9%

Projected score1–1BTTS split 34% · Không 66%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Chủ nhà-context · form sequence

Alianza

0.60pts / match
Số trận5Wins0Drawn3Losses2Điểm3

SignalChủ nhà failed to score: 2/5

Khách-context · form sequence

Atletico Bucaramanga

1.20pts / match
Số trận5Wins1Drawn3Losses1Điểm6

SignalKhách unbeaten 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
31%
Thắng probability excluding draw
38%
3
Points from supplied form
6
0.78
Expected goals
0.99
AlianzaAtletico Bucaramanga
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Alianza signalChủ nhà failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Atletico Bucaramanga signalKhách unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk62% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Hòa probability alone is 31%.

Match questions

Alianza vs Atletico Bucaramanga FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Đội khách thắng · Projected score 1–1 · 38% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Alianza thắng 31%,Hòa 31%,Atletico Bucaramanga thắng 38%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.77 · Tài 2.5 26% · Current selection Xỉu