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COL Colombia Primera A · Maç ·

Alianza vs Atletico Bucaramanga

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Ev Sahibi form
Projected score1–11.77 expected goals
Deplasman form
Ev sahibi kazanır31%
Beraberlik31%
Deplasman kazanır38%
Full model forecastDeplasman kazanırTier A · 38% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callDeplasman kazanır38% selection probability
Projected score1–1AlianzaAtletico Bucaramanga
Expected goals1.77Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Alt74% for the selected side
Karşılıklı gol varHayır66% for the selected side
Expected corners8.9Alt 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSeçimOlasılıkAdil oran
31% / 31% / 38%Maç sonucuDeplasman kazanır38%2.63
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Alianza win (30.9%)Çifte ŞansX269.1%1.45
Üst 26% · Alt 74%Goals 2.5Alt74%1.35
Evet 34% · Hayır 66%Karşılıklı gol varHayır66%1.52
1.77 total expected goalsDoğru skor1–1
8.9 expected match cornersKornerlerAlt 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin6.7%Largest probability gapAtletico Bucaramanga winDifference+0.5 pp
OutcomeTahminAdil oranReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Alianza win31%3.233.0031.3%-0.2 pp
Beraberlik31%3.233.0031.3%-0.2 pp
Atletico Bucaramanga win38%2.632.5037.5%+0.5 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Alianza0.78

Ev Sahibi share of expected goals 44.1%

Total expected goals1.77Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Üst 26% · Alt 74%

Atletico Bucaramanga0.99

Deplasman share of expected goals 55.9%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitEvet 34% · Hayır 66%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Ev Sahibi-context · form sequence

Alianza

0.60pts / match
Oynanan5Wins0Drawn3Losses2Puan3

SignalEv Sahibi failed to score: 2/5

Deplasman-context · form sequence

Atletico Bucaramanga

1.20pts / match
Oynanan5Wins1Drawn3Losses1Puan6

SignalDeplasman unbeaten 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
31%
Kazanç probability excluding draw
38%
3
Points from supplied form
6
0.78
Expected goals
0.99
AlianzaAtletico Bucaramanga
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Alianza signalEv Sahibi failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Atletico Bucaramanga signalDeplasman unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk62% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Beraberlik probability alone is 31%.

Match questions

Alianza vs Atletico Bucaramanga FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Deplasman kazanır · Projected score 1–1 · 38% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Alianza kazanç 31%,Beraberlik 31%,Atletico Bucaramanga kazanç 38%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.77 · 2.5 Üst 26% · Current selection Alt