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COL Κολομβία - Πριμέρα A · Αγώνας ·

Αλιάνζα vs Ατλέτικο Μπουκαραμάνγκα

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Γηπεδούχος form
Projected score1–11.77 expected goals
Φιλοξενούμενος form
Νίκη γηπεδούχου31%
Ισοπαλία31%
Νίκη φιλοξενούμενου38%
Full model forecastΝίκη φιλοξενούμενουTier A · 38% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callΝίκη φιλοξενούμενου38% selection probability
Projected score1–1ΑλιάνζαΑτλέτικο Μπουκαραμάνγκα
Expected goals1.77Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Κάτω74% for the selected side
Σκοράρουν και οι δύοΌχι66% for the selected side
Expected corners8.9Κάτω 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketΕπιλογήΠιθανότηταΔίκαιη απόδοση
31% / 31% / 38%Αποτέλεσμα αγώναΝίκη φιλοξενούμενου38%2.63
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Αλιάνζα win (30.9%)Διπλή ΕυκαιρίαX269.1%1.45
Άνω 26% · Κάτω 74%Goals 2.5Κάτω74%1.35
Ναι 34% · Όχι 66%Σκοράρουν και οι δύοΌχι66%1.52
1.77 total expected goalsΑκριβές σκορ1–1
8.9 expected match cornersΚόρνερΚάτω 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin6.7%Largest probability gapΑτλέτικο Μπουκαραμάνγκα winDifference+0.5 pp
OutcomeΠρόβλεψηΔίκαιη απόδοσηReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Αλιάνζα win31%3.233.0031.3%-0.2 pp
Ισοπαλία31%3.233.0031.3%-0.2 pp
Ατλέτικο Μπουκαραμάνγκα win38%2.632.5037.5%+0.5 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Αλιάνζα0.78

Γηπεδούχος share of expected goals 44.1%

Total expected goals1.77Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Άνω 26% · Κάτω 74%

Ατλέτικο Μπουκαραμάνγκα0.99

Φιλοξενούμενος share of expected goals 55.9%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitΝαι 34% · Όχι 66%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Γηπεδούχος-context · form sequence

Αλιάνζα

0.60pts / match
Αγώνες5Wins0Drawn3Losses2Πόντοι3

SignalΓηπεδούχος failed to score: 2/5

Φιλοξενούμενος-context · form sequence

Ατλέτικο Μπουκαραμάνγκα

1.20pts / match
Αγώνες5Wins1Drawn3Losses1Πόντοι6

SignalΦιλοξενούμενος unbeaten 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
31%
Νίκη probability excluding draw
38%
3
Points from supplied form
6
0.78
Expected goals
0.99
ΑλιάνζαΑτλέτικο Μπουκαραμάνγκα
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Αλιάνζα signalΓηπεδούχος failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Ατλέτικο Μπουκαραμάνγκα signalΦιλοξενούμενος unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk62% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ισοπαλία probability alone is 31%.

Match questions

Αλιάνζα vs Ατλέτικο Μπουκαραμάνγκα FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Νίκη φιλοξενούμενου · Projected score 1–1 · 38% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Αλιάνζα νίκη 31%,Ισοπαλία 31%,Ατλέτικο Μπουκαραμάνγκα νίκη 38%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.77 · Άνω 2.5 26% · Current selection Κάτω