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COL Kolumbia - Primera A · Mecz ·

Alianza vs Atletico Bucaramanga

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Gospodarze form
Projected score1–11.77 expected goals
Goście form
Wygrana gospodarzy31%
Remis31%
Wygrana gości38%
Full model forecastWygrana gościTier A · 38% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callWygrana gości38% selection probability
Projected score1–1AlianzaAtletico Bucaramanga
Expected goals1.77Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Poniżej74% for the selected side
Obie drużyny strzeląNie66% for the selected side
Expected corners8.9Poniżej 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketWybórPrawdopodobieństwoUczciwy kurs
31% / 31% / 38%Wynik meczuWygrana gości38%2.63
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Alianza win (30.9%)Podwójna szansaX269.1%1.45
Powyżej 26% · Poniżej 74%Goals 2.5Poniżej74%1.35
Tak 34% · Nie 66%Obie drużyny strzeląNie66%1.52
1.77 total expected goalsDokładny wynik1–1
8.9 expected match cornersRożnePoniżej 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin6.7%Largest probability gapAtletico Bucaramanga winDifference+0.5 pp
OutcomePrognozaUczciwy kursReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Alianza win31%3.233.0031.3%-0.2 pp
Remis31%3.233.0031.3%-0.2 pp
Atletico Bucaramanga win38%2.632.5037.5%+0.5 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Alianza0.78

Gospodarze share of expected goals 44.1%

Total expected goals1.77Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Powyżej 26% · Poniżej 74%

Atletico Bucaramanga0.99

Goście share of expected goals 55.9%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitTak 34% · Nie 66%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Gospodarze-context · form sequence

Alianza

0.60pts / match
Rozegrane5Wins0Drawn3Losses2Punkty3

SignalGospodarze failed to score: 2/5

Goście-context · form sequence

Atletico Bucaramanga

1.20pts / match
Rozegrane5Wins1Drawn3Losses1Punkty6

SignalGoście unbeaten 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
31%
Wygrana probability excluding draw
38%
3
Points from supplied form
6
0.78
Expected goals
0.99
AlianzaAtletico Bucaramanga
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Alianza signalGospodarze failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Atletico Bucaramanga signalGoście unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk62% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Remis probability alone is 31%.

Match questions

Alianza vs Atletico Bucaramanga FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Wygrana gości · Projected score 1–1 · 38% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Alianza wygrana 31%,Remis 31%,Atletico Bucaramanga wygrana 38%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.77 · Powyżej 2.5 26% · Current selection Poniżej