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COL Kolumbia - Primera A · Mérkőzés ·

America de Cali vs Atletico Nacional

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hazai form
Projected score1–12.32 expected goals
Vendég form
Hazai győzelem41%
Döntetlen29%
Vendég győzelem29%
Full model forecastHazai győzelemTier A · 41% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHazai győzelem41% selection probability
Projected score1–1America de CaliAtletico Nacional
Expected goals2.32Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Alatt59% for the selected side
Mindkét csapat szerez góltNem53% for the selected side
Expected corners8.9Alatt 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketVálasztásValószínűségValós odds
41% / 29% / 29%Mérkőzés eredményeHazai győzelem41%2.44
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (29.2%)Dupla esély1270.8%1.41
Felett 41% · Alatt 59%Goals 2.5Alatt59%1.69
Igen 47% · Nem 53%Mindkét csapat szerez góltNem53%1.89
2.32 total expected goalsPontos eredmény1–1
8.9 expected match cornersSzögletekAlatt 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin6.9%Largest probability gapAmerica de Cali winDifference-0.6 pp
OutcomeElőrejelzésValós oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
America de Cali win41%2.442.2541.6%-0.6 pp
Döntetlen29%3.453.2029.2%-0.2 pp
Atletico Nacional win29%3.453.2029.2%-0.2 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

America de Cali1.25

Hazai share of expected goals 53.9%

Total expected goals2.32Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Felett 41% · Alatt 59%

Atletico Nacional1.07

Vendég share of expected goals 46.1%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitIgen 47% · Nem 53%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hazai-context · form sequence

America de Cali

2.20pts / match
Lejátszott5Wins3Drawn2Losses0Pontok11

SignalHazai unbeaten 5/5

Vendég-context · form sequence

Atletico Nacional

2.40pts / match
Lejátszott5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Pontok12

SignalHazai matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
41%
Nyert probability excluding draw
29%
11
Points from supplied form
12
1.25
Expected goals
1.07
America de CaliAtletico Nacional
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01America de Cali signalHazai unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Atletico Nacional signalHazai matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk59% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Döntetlen probability alone is 29%.

Match questions

America de Cali vs Atletico Nacional FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hazai győzelem · Projected score 1–1 · 41% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

America de Cali nyer 41%,Döntetlen 29%,Atletico Nacional nyer 29%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.32 · 2.5 felett 41% · Current selection Alatt