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アメリカ・デ・カリ vs アトレティコ・ナシオナル・メデリン

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

ホーム form
Projected score1–12.32 expected goals
アウェイ form
ホーム勝利41%
引き分け29%
アウェイ勝利29%
Full model forecastホーム勝利Tier A · 41% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callホーム勝利41% selection probability
Projected score1–1アメリカ・デ・カリアトレティコ・ナシオナル・メデリン
Expected goals2.32Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5アンダー59% for the selected side
両チーム得点いいえ53% for the selected side
Expected corners8.9アンダー 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

Market選択確率フェアオッズ
41% / 29% / 29%試合結果ホーム勝利41%2.44
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (29.2%)ダブルチャンス1270.8%1.41
オーバー 41% · アンダー 59%Goals 2.5アンダー59%1.69
はい 47% · いいえ 53%両チーム得点いいえ53%1.89
2.32 total expected goals正確なスコア1–1
8.9 expected match cornersコーナーアンダー 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin6.9%Largest probability gapアメリカ・デ・カリ winDifference-0.6 pp
Outcome予想フェアオッズReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
アメリカ・デ・カリ win41%2.442.2541.6%-0.6 pp
引き分け29%3.453.2029.2%-0.2 pp
アトレティコ・ナシオナル・メデリン win29%3.453.2029.2%-0.2 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

アメリカ・デ・カリ1.25

ホーム share of expected goals 53.9%

Total expected goals2.32Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: オーバー 41% · アンダー 59%

アトレティコ・ナシオナル・メデリン1.07

アウェイ share of expected goals 46.1%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitはい 47% · いいえ 53%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

ホーム-context · form sequence

アメリカ・デ・カリ

2.20pts / match
試合数5Wins3Drawn2Losses0ポイント11

Signalホーム unbeaten 5/5

アウェイ-context · form sequence

アトレティコ・ナシオナル・メデリン

2.40pts / match
試合数5Wins4Drawn0Losses1ポイント12

Signalホーム matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
41%
勝ち probability excluding draw
29%
11
Points from supplied form
12
1.25
Expected goals
1.07
アメリカ・デ・カリアトレティコ・ナシオナル・メデリン
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01アメリカ・デ・カリ signalホーム unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02アトレティコ・ナシオナル・メデリン signalホーム matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk59% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. 引き分け probability alone is 29%.

Match questions

アメリカ・デ・カリ vs アトレティコ・ナシオナル・メデリン FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: ホーム勝利 · Projected score 1–1 · 41% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

アメリカ・デ・カリ 勝ち 41%,引き分け 29%,アトレティコ・ナシオナル・メデリン 勝ち 29%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.32 · オーバー 2.5 41% · Current selection アンダー