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COL Colombia - Categoría Primera A · Wedstrijd ·

America de Cali vs Atletico Nacional

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Thuis form
Projected score1–12.32 expected goals
Uit form
Thuiswinst41%
Gelijkspel29%
Uitwinst29%
Full model forecastThuiswinstTier A · 41% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callThuiswinst41% selection probability
Projected score1–1America de CaliAtletico Nacional
Expected goals2.32Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Onder59% for the selected side
Beide teams scorenNee53% for the selected side
Expected corners8.9Onder 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
41% / 29% / 29%WedstrijdresultaatThuiswinst41%2.44
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (29.2%)Dubbele Kans1270.8%1.41
Boven 41% · Onder 59%Goals 2.5Onder59%1.69
Ja 47% · Nee 53%Beide teams scorenNee53%1.89
2.32 total expected goalsExacte score1–1
8.9 expected match cornersHoekschoppenOnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin6.9%Largest probability gapAmerica de Cali winDifference-0.6 pp
OutcomeVoorspellingEerlijke oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
America de Cali win41%2.442.2541.6%-0.6 pp
Gelijkspel29%3.453.2029.2%-0.2 pp
Atletico Nacional win29%3.453.2029.2%-0.2 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

America de Cali1.25

Thuis share of expected goals 53.9%

Total expected goals2.32Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Boven 41% · Onder 59%

Atletico Nacional1.07

Uit share of expected goals 46.1%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 47% · Nee 53%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Thuis-context · form sequence

America de Cali

2.20pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins3Drawn2Losses0Punten11

SignalThuis unbeaten 5/5

Uit-context · form sequence

Atletico Nacional

2.40pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Punten12

SignalThuis matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
41%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
29%
11
Points from supplied form
12
1.25
Expected goals
1.07
America de CaliAtletico Nacional
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01America de Cali signalThuis unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Atletico Nacional signalThuis matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk59% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 29%.

Match questions

America de Cali vs Atletico Nacional FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Thuiswinst · Projected score 1–1 · 41% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

America de Cali gewonnen 41%,Gelijkspel 29%,Atletico Nacional gewonnen 29%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.32 · Boven 2.5 41% · Current selection Onder