Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
68% / 19% / 13%Match resultHome win68%1.47
Derived from 1X2 · excludes FC Kuressaare win (13.4%)Double chance1X86.6%1.15
Over 54% · Under 46%Goals 2.5Over54%1.85
Yes 36% · No 64%Both teams scoreNo64%1.56
2.82 total expected goalsCorrect score2–1——
11.5 expected match cornersCornersOver 9.5——
Price comparison
Published forecast vs reference market
Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.
Displayed margin12.2%Largest probability gapFC Kuressaare winDifference-1.3 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
FC Flora Tallinn win68%1.471.3367%+1.0 pp
Draw19%5.264.7518.8%+0.2 pp
FC Kuressaare win13%7.696.2514.3%-1.3 pp
Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Home share of expected goals 81.9%
Total expected goals2.82Balanced
Dedicated goals model: Over 54% · Under 46%
Away share of expected goals 18.1%
Projected score2–1BTTS splitYes 36% · No 64%Match profileBalanced
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Home-context · form sequence
1.20pts / matchFC Flora Tallinn
LLWLW
Played5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Points6
SignalHome matches under 2.5: 4/5
Away-context · form sequence
0.80pts / matchFC Kuressaare
WLDLL
Played5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Points4
SignalHome clean sheets: 2/5
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
68%
Win probability excluding draw
13%6
Points from supplied form
42.31
Expected goals
0.51FC Flora TallinnFC Kuressaare
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Model and market agree on HOME
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 19%.
Match questions
FC Flora Tallinn vs FC Kuressaare FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 2–1 · 68% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
FC Flora Tallinn win 68%，Draw 19%，FC Kuressaare win 13%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 2.82 · Over 2.5 54% · Current selection Over。