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EST Estonia - Meistriliiga · Final ·

FC Flora Tallinn vs FC Kuressaare

Prediction review

Gazde form
Final score2–3Predicție 2–1
Oaspeți form
Victorie gazde68%
Egal19%
Victorie oaspeți13%
Full model forecastVictorie gazdeTier A · 68% selection probability
Prediction Pierdut
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictorie gazde68% selection probability
Projected score2–1FC Flora TallinnFC Kuressaare
Expected goals2.82Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Peste54% for the selected side
Ambele echipe marcheazăNu64% for the selected side
Expected corners11.5Peste 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecțieProbabilitateCotă corectă
68% / 19% / 13%Rezultatul meciuluiVictorie gazde68%1.47
Derived from 1X2 · excludes FC Kuressaare win (13.4%)Șansă dublă1X86.6%1.15
Peste 54% · Sub 46%Goals 2.5Peste54%1.85
Da 36% · Nu 64%Ambele echipe marcheazăNu64%1.56
2.82 total expected goalsScor corect2–1
11.5 expected match cornersCornerePeste 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin12.2%Largest probability gapFC Kuressaare winDifference-1.3 pp
OutcomePredicțieCotă corectăReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
FC Flora Tallinn win68%1.471.3367%+1.0 pp
Egal19%5.264.7518.8%+0.2 pp
FC Kuressaare win13%7.696.2514.3%-1.3 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

FC Flora Tallinn2.31

Gazde share of expected goals 81.9%

Total expected goals2.82Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Peste 54% · Sub 46%

FC Kuressaare0.51

Oaspeți share of expected goals 18.1%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitDa 36% · Nu 64%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Gazde-context · form sequence

FC Flora Tallinn

1.20pts / match
Jucate5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Puncte6

SignalGazde matches under 2.5: 4/5

Oaspeți-context · form sequence

FC Kuressaare

0.80pts / match
Jucate5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Puncte4

SignalGazde clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
68%
Câștig probability excluding draw
13%
6
Points from supplied form
4
2.31
Expected goals
0.51
FC Flora TallinnFC Kuressaare
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01FC Flora Tallinn signalGazde matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02FC Kuressaare signalGazde clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk32% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Egal probability alone is 19%.

Match questions

FC Flora Tallinn vs FC Kuressaare FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victorie gazde · Projected score 2–1 · 68% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

FC Flora Tallinn câștig 68%,Egal 19%,FC Kuressaare câștig 13%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.82 · Peste 2.5 54% · Current selection Peste